RB Leipzig vs Elversberg Head to Head | Bundesliga

Match Report

Full Time

4 – 0

Match Events

RB Leipzig

Elversberg

Tidiam Gomis (Antonio Nusa) ⚽

48'

Rocco Reitz 🟨

59'

Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (Antonio Nusa) ⚽

66'

74'

🟨 Lasse Günther

Christoph Baumgartner (Brajan Gruda) ⚽

84'

Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (Abdoul Kone) ⚽

90+4'

Match Statistics

55%

Ball Possession

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

RB Leipzig (4-5-1)

Ø. Nyland

B. Henrichs

W. Orbán

M. Estève

Max Finkgräfe

A. MaksimoviÄ

R. Reitz

N. El Aynaoui

E. Banzuzi

A. Nusa

T. Gomis

Elversberg (4-2-3-1)

N. Kristof

J. Gyamerah

L. Pinckert

M. Rohr

L. Günther

F. Keidel

Ł. Poręba

L. Petkov

F. Schmahl

M. Krattenmacher

D. Mokwa

Player Ratings

RB Leipzig

RômuloF8.8

A. NusaM8.4

T. GomisF7.9

Elversberg

D. MokwaF6.8

F. KeidelM6.5

Ł. PorębaM6.4

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. RB Leipzig edge attack, Elversberg edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Elversberg slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

RB Leipzig stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Closely matched

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

RB Leipzig have secured five consecutive victories at home across their last five outings, whereas Elversberg have managed just one win from three away fixtures in that same period. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five home matches while keeping three clean sheets during that identical span. Both squads carry two players out, though Elversberg also list two additional names as doubtful for the match. Elversberg hold a slight advantage in form, while RB Leipzig rate stronger on attack, while defence is closely matched. Over the 12-day comparison window, RB Leipzig's implied win probability has fallen by 5.8 percentage points, while Elversberg's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift away from RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a RB Leipzig win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

RB Leipzig win

Latest market chance 66.3%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

72.1% → 66.3%

−5.8 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 18.0%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

16.3% → 18.0%

+1.7 pts

Elversberg win

Latest market chance 15.7%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

11.6% → 15.7%

+4.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

13 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

RB Leipzig

Draw

Elversberg

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

RB Leipzig

Elversberg

Season Profile

This season

7th

League Position

6th

Games Played

1.50

Points/Game

1.67

2.67

Goals/Game

2.00

1.83

Conceded/Game

1.83

17.2

Shots/Game

11.2

6.9

Shots on Target

4.7

Home vs Away Context

RB Leipzig at home (5 matches) vs Elversberg away (5 matches)

3.00

Points/Game

0.80

4.60

Goals/Game

1.00

0.40

Conceded/Game

2.00

100%

Win Rate

20%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

RB Leipzig

Home form

Won 5 straight at home

2 of these matches from last season.

3.8

Goals scored
per match

0.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

3/5

Clean
sheets

Elversberg

Away form

Won 1 of last 3 away

Limited history — only 3 away fixtures on record for Elversberg.

1.33

Goals scored
per match

1.33

Goals conceded
per match

1/3

Scored in
last 3

1/3

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and Elversberg.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

RB Leipzig

Elversberg

Recent Scoring Profile

2.30

Goals scored / game

2.00

2.10

Goals conceded / game

1.83

9/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/6

6/10

Both Teams Scored

4/6

1/10

Failed to Score

2/6

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

87.9%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

74.0%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

55.3%

BTTSBoth teams score

66.7%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 72.5%→Latest 74.0%+1.5 pts

Notable move towards 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 12 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 60.7%→Latest 66.4%+5.7 pts

Strong move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 12 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Elversberg have only 6 completed fixtures on record.

4 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis