RB Leipzig vs Ein Frankfurt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Leipzig Red Bull Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.59
Draw
4.95
Away Win
4.82
Match Report
Full Time
6 – 0
Match Events ?
RB Leipzig
Ein Frankfurt
Ezechiel Banzuzi (Neil El Aynaoui) ⚽
1'
Christopher Nkunku (Antonio Nusa) ⚽
5'
Neil El Aynaoui 🟨
27'
Christopher Nkunku ⚽
41'
Christopher Nkunku ⚽
44'
Antonio Nusa (Ezechiel Banzuzi) ⚽
54'
62'
🟨 Elias Niklas Baum
76'
🟨 Ansgar Knauff
84'
🟨 Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
Tidiam Gomis (Benjamin Henrichs) ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
20
Total Shots
18
10
Shots on Goal
9
3
Corner Kicks
6
16
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
9
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1)
M. Vandevoordt
R. Baku
W. Orbán
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
E. Banzuzi
N. El Aynaoui
A. MaksimoviÄ
C. Nkunku
A. Nusa
Rômulo
Ein Frankfurt (3-4-2-1)
N. Atubolu
N. Collins
R. Koch
L. Brassier
A. Knauff
R. Onyedika
N. Aséko Nkili
K. Kosugi
R. Dōan
C. Uzun
J. Burkardt
Player Ratings ?
RB Leipzig
C. NkunkuM9.9
M. VandevoordtG9.6
A. NusaM9.0
Ein Frankfurt
C. UzunM6.9
J. BurkardtF6.8
Y. EbnoutalibF6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving RB Leipzig a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Defence
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
RB Leipzig arrive at home with a perfect record in their last five outings, whereas Ein Frankfurt have been less consistent away from home with two wins and two draws from their last five matches. The hosts have found the net in all of their last five home fixtures while also securing three clean sheets during that same period. There are four confirmed absences and one doubtful case for RB Leipzig, while Ein Frankfurt face two confirmed outsidess alongside two players listed as doubtful. RB Leipzig rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. RB Leipzig won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 18 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Ein Frankfurt's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 22-day comparison window, RB Leipzig's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Ein Frankfurt's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives RB Leipzig a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a RB Leipzig win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
RB Leipzig win
Latest market chance 60.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
61.7% → 60.2%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.8% → 20.0%
+0.2 pts
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 19.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
18.5% → 19.8%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
RB Leipzig
Draw
Ein Frankfurt
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RB LeipzigEin Frankfurt
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
10th
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
1.25
2.25
Goals/Game
2.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.50
17.2
Shots/Game
14.1
6.9
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
RB Leipzig at home (5 matches) vs Ein Frankfurt away (5 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
4.60
Goals/Game
1.60
0.40
Conceded/Game
2.60
100%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
RB Leipzig
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ein Frankfurt
Away form
W
D
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
RB Leipzig Wins
3
Draws
1
Ein Frankfurt Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.2
Ein Frankfurt1 – 3RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig6 – 0Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt4 – 0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt2 – 2RB Leipzig
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
RB Leipzigvs
Ein Frankfurt
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.8%→Latest 73.6%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.6%→Latest 69.2%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches and 6 of Ein Frankfurt's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?