RB Leipzig vs Augsburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Leipzig Red Bull Arena
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.47
Draw
5.38
Away Win
5.91
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
1'
⚽ Anton Kade
David Raum 🟨
26'
Ezechiel Banzuzi (Brajan Gruda) ⚽
34'
Christopher Nkunku (Brajan Gruda) ⚽
35'
45'
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
David Raum ⚽
45+1'
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (Christopher Nkunku) ⚽
60'
Christoph Baumgartner (Antonio Nusa) ⚽
66'
72'
🟨 Robin Fellhauer
90+2'
⚽ Uchenna Ogundu (Fabian Rieder)
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
17
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
2
6
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
4
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
RB Leipzig (4-5-1)
M. Vandevoordt
R. Baku
W. Orbán
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
T. Gomis
B. Gruda
N. El Aynaoui
E. Banzuzi
C. Nkunku
Rômulo
Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
F. Dahmen
Y. Keitel
J. Gouweleeuw
C. Matsima
R. Fellhauer
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens
A. Kade
A. Ibrahimović
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Player Ratings ?
RB Leipzig
C. NkunkuM8.7
B. GrudaM8.6
RômuloF7.9
Augsburg
U. OgunduF7.4
A. KadeM7.2
F. RiederM7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving RB Leipzig an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Defence
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
RB Leipzig enter this Bundesliga clash with a perfect home record in their last five outings, while Augsburg have recorded two wins from five away matches during that same span. At the RhEnergie-Stadion, Leipzig have found the net in each of their last five games yet have also managed four clean sheets within that identical run. RB Leipzig rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. RB Leipzig won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 7 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Augsburg's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours RB Leipzig.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
RB Leipzig win
Latest market chance 64.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
64.4% → 64.7%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.6% → 18.5%
−0.1 pts
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 16.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.0% → 16.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
RB Leipzig
Draw
Augsburg
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RB LeipzigAugsburg
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
8
1.88
Points/Game
1.13
2.75
Goals/Game
2.25
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.88
17.2
Shots/Game
16.9
6.9
Shots on Target
6.7
Home vs Away Context
RB Leipzig at home (5 matches) vs Augsburg away (4 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.75
4.60
Goals/Game
2.75
0.40
Conceded/Game
3.25
100%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
RB Leipzig
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
4.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Augsburg
Away form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
RB Leipzig Wins
3
Draws
2
Augsburg Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.4
RB Leipzig2 – 1Augsburg
Augsburg0 – 6RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 – 0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig4 – 0Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 2RB Leipzig
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
RB Leipzigvs
Augsburg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 75.2%→Latest 75.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.2%→Latest 68.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches and 2 of Augsburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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