Paderborn vs Ein Frankfurt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Home Deluxe Arena
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.16
Draw
3.81
Away Win
2.21
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Paderborn
Ein Frankfurt
23'
⚽ Jonathan Burkardt (Farès Chaïbi)
Raphael Obermair (Ruben Müller) ⚽
45'
60'
🟨 Elias Niklas Baum
Marvin Pieringer ⚽ (P)
73'
75'
🟥 Elias Niklas Baum
Deniz Zeitler 🟨
80'
86'
🟨 Nnamdi Collins
90+3'
⚽ Jonathan Burkardt (Noah Atubolu)
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
6
14
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Paderborn (3-5-2)
N. Noll
J. ter Horst
T. Scheller
M. Hansen
L. Curda
T. Baack
S. Castañeda
G. Vidović
R. Obermair
Ruben Müller
S. Marino
Ein Frankfurt (4-2-3-1)
N. Atubolu
A. Knauff
R. Koch
L. Brassier
Elias Baum
R. Onyedika
N. Aséko Nkili
R. Dōan
C. Uzun
F. Chaïbi
J. Burkardt
Player Ratings ?
Paderborn
M. PieringerF7.8
R. ObermairM7.5
S. TiggesF7.0
Ein Frankfurt
J. BurkardtF8.8
F. ChaïbiM7.5
L. BrassierD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Paderborn edge defence, Ein Frankfurt edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ein Frankfurt stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ein Frankfurt stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Paderborn stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ein Frankfurt slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ein Frankfurt have recorded just one victory and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Paderborn have managed two wins in their last five home fixtures. Paderborn have scored in three of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Ein Frankfurt rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Paderborn rate stronger on defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2020. Over the 8-day comparison window, Paderborn's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Ein Frankfurt's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Paderborn
Paderborn's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Paderborn win as less likely than it did 8 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Ein Frankfurt remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Paderborn win
Latest market chance 31.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
32.6% → 31.2%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.8%
+0.3 pts
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 43.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
42.9% → 43.9%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Paderborn
Draw
Ein Frankfurt
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PaderbornEin Frankfurt
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.38
0.75
Goals/Game
1.62
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.25
13.6
Shots/Game
14.1
3.4
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Paderborn at home (5 matches) vs Ein Frankfurt away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
1.00
1.20
Goals/Game
1.60
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.60
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Paderborn
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ein Frankfurt
Away form
L
D
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Paderborn Wins
3
Draws
0
Ein Frankfurt Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.4
Ein Frankfurt3 – 2Paderborn
Paderborn2 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt4 – 0Paderborn
Paderborn3 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Paderborn4 – 2Ein Frankfurt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Paderbornvs
Ein Frankfurt
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.7%→Latest 63.1%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.2%→Latest 64.6%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Paderborn's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?