M'gladbach vs Dortmund Head to Head, Prediction
Borussia-Park
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.66
Draw
4.32
Away Win
1.65
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dortmund
Dortmund rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Dortmund an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
M'gladbach win
Latest market chance 20.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.7% → 20.6%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 22.0%
−0.1 pts
Dortmund win
Latest market chance 57.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.2% → 57.5%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
M'gladbach
Draw
Dortmund
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
M'gladbachDortmund
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
2nd
9
Games Played
9
0.44
Points/Game
2.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.78
2.78
Conceded/Game
0.78
15.3
Shots/Game
15.3
4.8
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
M'gladbach at home (5 matches) vs Dortmund away (4 matches)
0.20
Points/Game
2.00
1.60
Goals/Game
1.50
2.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
M'gladbach
Home form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dortmund
Away form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
M'gladbach Wins
1
Draws
1
Dortmund Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
M'gladbach1 – 0Dortmund
Dortmund2 – 0M'gladbach
Dortmund3 – 2M'gladbach
M'gladbach1 – 1Dortmund
M'gladbach1 – 2Dortmund
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
M'gladbachvs
Dortmund
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.40
Goals conceded / game
0.90
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.7%→Latest 65.1%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.7%→Latest 62.5%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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