Mainz vs Union Berlin Head to Head, Prediction
Mewa Arena
Sat 28 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.68
Away Win
5.49
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mainz edge recent form and attack, Union Berlin edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mainz slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Union Berlin stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Mainz win
61.0%
Draw
21.1%
Union Berlin win
17.9%
Based on 3 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
MainzUnion Berlin
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
16th
9
Games Played
9
1.11
Points/Game
0.78
2.00
Goals/Game
0.78
2.11
Conceded/Game
2.33
16.0
Shots/Game
10.2
5.2
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Mainz at home (5 matches) vs Union Berlin away (5 matches)
0.20
Points/Game
0.20
1.40
Goals/Game
0.20
2.40
Conceded/Game
3.20
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mainz
Home form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Union Berlin
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mainz Wins
0
Draws
3
Union Berlin Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Mainz1 – 3Union Berlin
Union Berlin2 – 2Mainz
Union Berlin2 – 1Mainz
Mainz1 – 1Union Berlin
Mainz1 – 1Union Berlin
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mainzvs
Union Berlin
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.50
2.30
Goals conceded / game
2.10
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.0%→Latest 61.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 57.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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