Leverkusen vs Stuttgart Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BayArena
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.80
Draw
4.43
Away Win
3.92
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 4
Match Events ?
Leverkusen
Stuttgart
14'
⚽ Ermedin Demirović
Equi Fernández 🟨
17'
Carles Martínez Novell 🟨
18'
22'
⚽ Jamie Leweling
Patrik Schick (Aleix García) ⚽
28'
Facundo Medina 🟨
40'
Aleix García 🟨
40'
40'
🟨 Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot
40'
🟨 Luca Jaquez
51'
⚽ Bilal El Khannouss (Chris Führich)
Ibrahim Maza 🟨
53'
58'
🟨 Atakan Karazor
64'
🟨 Ermedin Demirović
65'
⚽ Ermedin Demirović (Deniz Undav)
Ibrahim Maza (Miguel Gutiérrez) ⚽
79'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
24
Total Shots
15
8
Shots on Goal
7
12
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Leverkusen (4-2-3-1)
M. Flekken
J. Quansah
E. Tapsoba
F. Medina
Miguel Gutiérrez
E. Fernández
Aleix García
Lucas Vázquez
I. Maza
Afonso Moreira
P. Schick
Stuttgart (3-4-1-2)
D. Seimen
L. Jaquez
J. Chabot
R. Hendriks
J. Leweling
A. Karazor
G. Prömel
C. Führich
B. El Khannouss
D. Undav
E. Demirović
Player Ratings ?
Leverkusen
P. SchickF7.7
Aleix GarcíaM7.5
I. MazaM7.2
Stuttgart
E. DemirovićF9.0
B. El KhannoussM7.6
D. UndavF7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leverkusen edge recent form, attack and defence, Stuttgart edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leverkusen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leverkusen stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leverkusen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leverkusen have enjoyed an impressive unbeaten run at home in their last five outings, while Stuttgart have struggled on the road with just a solitary win and draw from their away record over the same span. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only two of those same fixtures. Both sides face selection challenges with Leverkusen having seven players unavailable and Stuttgart carrying six absences ahead of the kick-off. Leverkusen rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Stuttgart rate stronger on head-to-head. Stuttgart won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 9 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Leverkusen's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Leverkusen yellow cards after 75'
13
Leverkusen points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leverkusen win
Latest market chance 53.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
53.1% → 53.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.0% → 21.8%
−0.2 pts
Stuttgart win
Latest market chance 25.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.9% → 25.2%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leverkusen
Draw
Stuttgart
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeverkusenStuttgart
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
15th
7
Games Played
7
1.86
Points/Game
0.86
2.29
Goals/Game
1.43
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.86
18.3
Shots/Game
16.2
6.0
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Leverkusen at home (5 matches) vs Stuttgart away (5 matches)
2.40
Points/Game
1.20
2.40
Goals/Game
1.60
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.00
80%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leverkusen
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stuttgart
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leverkusen Wins
1
Draws
2
Stuttgart Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.0
Stuttgart3 – 1Leverkusen
Leverkusen1 – 4Stuttgart
Stuttgart3 – 4Leverkusen
Leverkusen0 – 0Stuttgart
Leverkusen2 – 2Stuttgart
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leverkusenvs
Stuttgart
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.8%→Latest 72.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.8%→Latest 69.9%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Leverkusen's 10 matches and 2 of Stuttgart's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?