Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Prezero Arena
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.45
Away Win
5.06
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
Fisnik Asllani ⚽
10'
Tim Lemperle (Fisnik Asllani) ⚽
26'
76'
🟨 Hwang Hee-Chan
81'
⚽ Junior Chukwubuike Adamu
90+10'
🟨 Adil Aouchiche
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
15
Total Shots
23
7
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Hoffenheim (4-2-2-2)
O. Baumann
V. Coufal
O. Kabak
K. Machida
M. Rots
L. Avdullahu
W. Burger
A. Kramarić
A. Prass
T. Lemperle
F. Asllani
Schalke 04 (5-3-2)
L. Karius
D. Ljubičić
M. Ayhan
N. Katić
H. Kuruçay
R. Gosens
S. El-Faouzi
S. Tanaka
A. Aouchiche
K. Karaman
Hwang Hee-Chan
Player Ratings ?
Hoffenheim
T. LemperleF7.9
F. AsllaniF7.9
K. MachidaD7.3
Schalke 04
J. AdamuF7.3
H. KuruçayD6.7
J. Dina EbimbeM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Hoffenheim an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hoffenheim stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hoffenheim stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hoffenheim slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hoffenheim stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hoffenheim have secured three victories from their last five outings at home, while Schalke 04 have managed just a single win and one draw in that same span away from home. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five matches yet have kept just two clean sheets during that identical period. Hoffenheim rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Hoffenheim won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 9 April 2023, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Schalke 04's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 9-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Hoffenheim.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hoffenheim win as more likely than it did 9 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hoffenheim win
Latest market chance 59.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
58.1% → 59.1%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.7%
−0.1 pts
Schalke 04 win
Latest market chance 19.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.2% → 19.2%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hoffenheim
Draw
Schalke 04
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HoffenheimSchalke 04
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
17th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
0.75
1.75
Goals/Game
0.50
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.12
17.6
Shots/Game
11.0
5.2
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Hoffenheim at home (7 matches) vs Schalke 04 away (7 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.57
2.29
Goals/Game
1.00
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.71
71%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hoffenheim
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Schalke 04
Away form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hoffenheim Wins
4
Draws
0
Schalke 04 Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Hoffenheim2 – 1Schalke 04
Hoffenheim2 – 0Schalke 04
Schalke 040 – 3Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim4 – 2Schalke 04
Schalke 044 – 0Hoffenheim
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hoffenheimvs
Schalke 04
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.9%→Latest 63.2%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.3%→Latest 60.6%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?