Freiburg vs Union Berlin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Europa-Park-Stadion
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.50
Draw
4.67
Away Win
6.42
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Igor Matanović 🟨
2'
19'
🟨 Zeno Van Den Bosch
Yannick Engelhardt 🟨
27'
Rani Khedira ⚽ (OG)
55'
Yuito Suzuki (Derry Lionel Scherhant) ⚽
67'
Vincenzo Grifo •
84'
89'
🟨 Woo-Yeong Jeong
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
4
9
Shots on Goal
0
5
Corner Kicks
1
10
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
M. Backhaus
P. Treu
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
Y. Engelhardt
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant
I. Matanović
Union Berlin (5-3-2)
F. Rønnow
J. Haberer
Z. Van Den Bosch
M. Friedrich
R. Khedira
D. Köhn
K. Imeri
A. Schäfer
M. Aebischer
T. Skarke
Livan Burcu
Player Ratings ?
Freiburg
Y. SuzukiM7.9
D. ScherhantM7.7
M. GinterD7.5
Union Berlin
F. RønnowG8.1
A. SchäferM6.6
M. FriedrichD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Freiburg edge recent form, attack and defence, Union Berlin edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Union Berlin stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Freiburg have secured three victories from their last five home matches, whereas Union Berlin have managed just a single win in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five home games but have managed only a solitary clean sheet during that same period. Freiburg rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Union Berlin rate stronger on head-to-head. Union Berlin won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Freiburg's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 9-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Union Berlin losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 9 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Freiburg win
Latest market chance 63.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
62.8% → 63.2%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.8%
±0.0 pts
Union Berlin win
Latest market chance 16.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.5% → 16.0%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Freiburg
Draw
Union Berlin
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FreiburgUnion Berlin
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
16th
8
Games Played
8
2.00
Points/Game
0.88
2.25
Goals/Game
0.88
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.38
15.9
Shots/Game
10.2
5.2
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Freiburg at home (8 matches) vs Union Berlin away (5 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.20
2.38
Goals/Game
0.20
1.12
Conceded/Game
3.20
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Freiburg
Home form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Union Berlin
Away form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Freiburg Wins
1
Draws
2
Union Berlin Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.2
Freiburg2 – 0Union Berlin
Freiburg0 – 1Union Berlin
Union Berlin0 – 0Freiburg
Freiburg1 – 2Union Berlin
Union Berlin0 – 0Freiburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Freiburgvs
Union Berlin
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.20
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 58.8%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.2%→Latest 54.1%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?