Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Head to Head, Prediction

Europa-Park Stadion
Sun 29 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.87
Draw
4.21
Away Win
2.33
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Freiburg edge recent form and defence, RB Leipzig edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Freiburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Freiburg win
34.3%
Draw
23.4%
RB Leipzig win
42.3%
Based on 3 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
2.11
Points/Game
2.00
2.22
Goals/Game
3.00
1.11
Conceded/Game
1.44
15.9
Shots/Game
17.2
5.2
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Freiburg at home (8 matches) vs RB Leipzig away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.75
2.38
Goals/Game
1.00
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.75
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Freiburg
Home form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
RB Leipzig
Away form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Freiburg Wins
1
Draws
1
RB Leipzig Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-05-162025-2026
Freiburg4 – 1RB Leipzig
2026-01-142025-2026
RB Leipzig2 – 0Freiburg
2025-03-082024-2025
Freiburg0 – 0RB Leipzig
2024-10-262024-2025
RB Leipzig3 – 1Freiburg
2024-04-062023-2024
Freiburg1 – 4RB Leipzig
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Freiburg
vs
RB Leipzig
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.70
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
85.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
67.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
47.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
68.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.6%→Latest 67.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.8%→Latest 68.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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