FC Koln vs Schalke 04 Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
RheinEnergieStadion
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.75
Away Win
3.41
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
FC Koln
Schalke 04
Tom Krauß 🟨
45+2'
71'
🟨 Junior Dina Ebimbe
Luka Lochoshvili 🟨
81'
83'
🟨 Vitalie Becker
89'
🟨 Hasan Kuruçay
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
FC Koln (4-2-3-1)
M. Schwäbe
S. Sebulonsen
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
L. Lochoshvili
B. Sosa
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
T. Krauß
L. Maina
M. Moore
S. El Mala
M. Bülter
Schalke 04 (3-4-2-1)
L. Karius
T. Becker
N. Katić
H. Kuruçay
J. Dina Ebimbe
S. El-Faouzi
S. Tanaka
R. Gosens
J. Adamu
A. Aouchiche
Hwang Hee-Chan
Player Ratings ?
FC Koln
M. SchwäbeG7.4
Í. Bergmann JóhannessonM7.2
L. LochoshviliD7.1
Schalke 04
L. KariusG8.0
T. BeckerD7.0
R. GosensM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. FC Koln edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Schalke 04 edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Schalke 04 slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
FC Koln stronger
HomeAway
Defence
FC Koln slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
FC Koln stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
FC Koln have secured three victories and a draw from their last five home outings, whereas Schalke 04 have just a solitary victory in the same number of away fixtures. FC Koln have scored in five of their last five home matches but failed to keep a clean sheet in that same sample. FC Koln face four confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player, while Schalke 04 must manage five confirmed out-counts. Schalke 04 hold a slight advantage in form, while FC Koln rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. FC Koln won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 February 2025, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Schalke 04's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, FC Koln's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Schalke 04's implied win probability has fallen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
64%
FC Koln yellow cards after 75'
3
Schalke 04 points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 8 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. FC Koln remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
FC Koln win
Latest market chance 45.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
46.6% → 45.7%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.7% → 25.8%
+1.1 pts
Schalke 04 win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 28.5%
−0.2 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FC KolnSchalke 04
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
15th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
0.83
1.33
Goals/Game
0.67
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
15.2
Shots/Game
11.0
5.0
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
FC Koln at home (6 matches) vs Schalke 04 away (7 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.57
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.71
50%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
FC Koln
Home form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Schalke 04
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
FC Koln Wins
4
Draws
1
Schalke 04 Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
FC Koln1 – 0Schalke 04
Schalke 041 – 3FC Koln
Schalke 040 – 0FC Koln
FC Koln3 – 1Schalke 04
FC Koln1 – 0Schalke 04
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
FC Kolnvs
Schalke 04
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 57.2%−2.9 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.8%→Latest 60.1%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of FC Koln's 10 matches and 3 of Schalke 04's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?