Elversberg vs Freiburg Head to Head | Bundesliga

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Freiburg edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Freiburg stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Closely matched

HomeAway

Defence

Freiburg stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Elversberg win

Latest market chance 28.7%

Steady

Market view unchanged

28.7% → 28.7%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.5% → 24.4%

−0.1 pts

Freiburg win

Latest market chance 46.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

46.8% → 46.9%

+0.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Elversberg

Draw

Freiburg

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Elversberg

Freiburg

Season Profile

This season

7th

League Position

3rd

Games Played

1.44

Points/Game

2.11

1.89

Goals/Game

2.22

2.00

Conceded/Game

1.11

11.2

Shots/Game

15.9

4.7

Shots on Target

5.2

Home vs Away Context

Elversberg at home (5 matches) vs Freiburg away (5 matches)

2.40

Points/Game

1.40

3.20

Goals/Game

1.40

1.80

Conceded/Game

1.40

80%

Win Rate

40%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Elversberg

Home form

Won 3 straight at home

3.2

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Freiburg

Away form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 away

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Elversberg and Freiburg.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Elversberg

Freiburg

Recent Scoring Profile

2.10

Goals scored / game

1.60

1.90

Goals conceded / game

1.50

8/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

7/10

Both Teams Scored

8/10

3/10

Failed to Score

0/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

82.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

63.7%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

43.2%

BTTSBoth teams score

64.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 65.4%→Latest 63.9%−1.5 pts

Notable move away from 3+ goals

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 65.6%→Latest 64.5%−1.1 pts

Slight move away from both teams scoring

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Elversberg vs Freiburg Head to Head, Prediction