Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Deutsche Bank Park
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.54
Draw
4.77
Away Win
5.59
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Ein Frankfurt
Hamburg
Warmed Omari ⚽ (OG)
10'
14'
⚽ Terem Moffi (Albert Grönbaek)
33'
🟨 Shafiq Nandja
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike ⚽
47'
Younes Ebnoutalib (Can Yilmaz Uzun) ⚽
69'
70'
🟨 Martin Adeline
76'
🟨 Warmed Omari
Elias Niklas Baum 🟨
85'
A. Hütter 🟨
90'
Robin Koch 🟨
90+8'
90+8'
🟨 Otto Emerson Stange
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
10
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
6
10
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Ein Frankfurt (4-2-3-1)
N. Atubolu
Elias Baum
R. Koch
L. Brassier
K. Kosugi
R. Onyedika
N. Aséko Nkili
R. Dōan
C. Uzun
F. Chaïbi
Y. Ebnoutalib
Hamburg (3-4-2-1)
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
S. Nandja
J. Torunarigha
W. Omari
D. Møller Wolfe
A. Sambi Lokonga
M. Muheim
L. Lemke
M. Adeline
A. Grønbæk
T. Moffi
Player Ratings ?
Ein Frankfurt
R. OnyedikaM8.0
Y. EbnoutalibF7.6
F. ChaïbiM7.2
Hamburg
T. MoffiF7.8
Daniel Heuer FernandesG7.6
Alexander Røssing-LelesiitF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Ein Frankfurt edge attack, Hamburg edge recent form, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hamburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ein Frankfurt stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ein Frankfurt have secured two victories from their last five home outings, whereas Hamburg have managed just a solitary win in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five matches at this venue while keeping their defence intact on two occasions during that run. Ein Frankfurt face minimal concerns with only a single player unavailable, but Hamburg will be significantly hampered by six confirmed absences and one doubtful selection. Hamburg rate stronger on form, while Ein Frankfurt rate stronger on attack, while defence and head-to-head are closely matched. Hamburg won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Ein Frankfurt's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 9-day comparison window, Ein Frankfurt's implied win probability has risen by 5.7 percentage points, while Hamburg's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ein Frankfurt win as more likely than it did 9 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 62.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
56.3% → 62.0%
+5.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.0% → 20.2%
−1.8 pts
Hamburg win
Latest market chance 17.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
21.7% → 17.8%
−3.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Ein Frankfurt
Draw
Hamburg
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Ein FrankfurtHamburg
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.29
1.43
Goals/Game
0.86
2.43
Conceded/Game
2.29
14.1
Shots/Game
11.7
5.7
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Ein Frankfurt at home (6 matches) vs Hamburg away (6 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.50
1.83
Goals/Game
0.83
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
67%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Ein Frankfurt
Home form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hamburg
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Ein Frankfurt Wins
3
Draws
1
Hamburg Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Ein Frankfurt3 – 1Hamburg
Ein Frankfurt1 – 2Hamburg
Hamburg1 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt3 – 0Hamburg
Hamburg1 – 2Ein Frankfurt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Ein Frankfurtvs
Hamburg
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 66.8%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.4%→Latest 62.7%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Ein Frankfurt's 10 matches and 2 of Hamburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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