Dortmund vs Elversberg Head to Head | Bundesliga

Match Report

Full Time

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Match Events

Dortmund

Elversberg

Felix Nmecha 🟨

22'

Felix Nmecha (Fábio Silva) ⚽

55'

59'

🟨 Vincent Wagner

Fábio Silva 🟨

60'

65'

🟨 Lasse Günther

Felix Nmecha (Maximilian Beier) ⚽

71'

Waldemar Anton 🟨

76'

81'

⚽ Noel Futkeu (Florian Le Joncour)

Match Statistics

51%

Ball Possession

49%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Dortmund (4-3-3)

G. Kobel

Kouakou Joane Gadou

W. Anton

N. Schlotterbeck

D. Svensson

J. Bellingham

J. Veerman

F. Nmecha

K. Karetsas

Fábio Silva

C. Chukwuemeka

Elversberg (4-2-3-1)

N. Kristof

L. Sirch

L. Pinckert

M. Rohr

L. Günther

F. Keidel

Ł. Poręba

L. Petkov

Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka

M. Krattenmacher

D. Mokwa

Player Ratings

Dortmund

F. NmechaM9.0

G. KobelG7.6

J. VeermanM7.5

Elversberg

N. FutkeuF7.3

N. KristofG7.0

F. KeidelM7.0

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

Dortmund

Dortmund rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Dortmund a slight edge.

Leads 3 of 3 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Dortmund stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Dortmund stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Dortmund stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

Dortmund have secured three victories from their last five home outings without a single defeat, while Elversberg have recorded just one win and one draw across their last four away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in five of their last five home matches but have kept three clean sheets during that same period. Dortmund rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 8-day comparison window, Dortmund's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Elversberg's implied win probability has risen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Dortmund a slight edge.

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from Dortmund

Dortmund's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Dortmund win as less likely than it did 8 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Dortmund win

Latest market chance 72.9%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

73.8% → 72.9%

−0.9 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 16.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

15.4% → 16.0%

+0.6 pts

Elversberg win

Latest market chance 11.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

10.9% → 11.1%

+0.2 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

9 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Dortmund

Draw

Elversberg

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Dortmund

Elversberg

Season Profile

This season

2nd

League Position

7th

Games Played

2.25

Points/Game

1.63

1.75

Goals/Game

2.00

0.75

Conceded/Game

2.00

15.3

Shots/Game

11.2

5.4

Shots on Target

4.7

Home vs Away Context

Dortmund at home (6 matches) vs Elversberg away (5 matches)

2.33

Points/Game

0.80

2.00

Goals/Game

1.00

0.83

Conceded/Game

2.00

67%

Win Rate

20%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Dortmund

Home form

Unbeaten in last 5 at home

2.0

Goals scored
per match

0.8

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

3/5

Clean
sheets

Elversberg

Away form

Lost 2 of last 4 away

Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Elversberg.

1.0

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

1/4

Scored in
last 4

1/4

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Dortmund and Elversberg.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Dortmund

Elversberg

Recent Scoring Profile

1.80

Goals scored / game

2.22

0.80

Goals conceded / game

1.89

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/9

4/10

Both Teams Scored

6/9

1/10

Failed to Score

3/9

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

86.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

69.5%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

49.1%

BTTSBoth teams score

57.4%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 72.2%→Latest 69.6%−2.6 pts

Notable move away from 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 58.9%→Latest 57.5%−1.4 pts

Slight move away from both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Elversberg have only 9 completed fixtures on record.

1 of Dortmund's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Dortmund vs Elversberg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis