Dortmund vs Ein Frankfurt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Signal Iduna Park
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.51
Draw
4.89
Away Win
5.80
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Dortmund
Ein Frankfurt
58'
🟨 Nnamdi Collins
63'
🟨 Farès Chaïbi
Maximilian Beier (Jobe Bellingham) ⚽
80'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
18
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
13
Corner Kicks
1
7
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
G. Kobel
W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck
R. Bensebaïni
J. Ryerson
J. Veerman
F. Nmecha
D. Svensson
M. Sabitzer
Fábio Silva
S. Guirassy
Ein Frankfurt (4-4-2)
N. Atubolu
N. Collins
R. Koch
L. Brassier
Elias Baum
R. Dōan
N. Aséko Nkili
R. Onyedika
F. Chaïbi
Y. Ebnoutalib
J. Burkardt
Player Ratings ?
Dortmund
M. BeierF7.7
C. ChukwuemekaM7.5
N. SchlotterbeckD7.4
Ein Frankfurt
N. AtuboluG7.1
Elias BaumD7.0
R. KochD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Dortmund
Dortmund rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Dortmund an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dortmund slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dortmund stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ein Frankfurt have recorded just one victory in their last five away outings, while Dortmund remain unbeaten at home during that same run of five matches. Dortmund have found the net in every one of their last five home fixtures, though they have kept two clean sheets within that identical sample period. The hosts face five confirmed absences ahead of the game, while Ein Frankfurt carry one doubtful selection alongside a single confirmed absence. Dortmund rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Dortmund won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 8 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Ein Frankfurt's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Dortmund's implied win probability has fallen by 6.9 percentage points, while Ein Frankfurt's implied win probability has risen by 4.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Dortmund.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Dortmund unbeaten run
47%
Dortmund yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Dortmund
Dortmund's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Dortmund win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dortmund win
Latest market chance 63.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
70.7% → 63.8%
−6.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
16.7% → 19.1%
+2.4 pts
Ein Frankfurt win
Latest market chance 17.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
12.5% → 17.1%
+4.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dortmund
Draw
Ein Frankfurt
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DortmundEin Frankfurt
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
11th
6
Games Played
6
2.33
Points/Game
1.33
1.83
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.67
15.3
Shots/Game
14.1
5.4
Shots on Target
5.7
Home vs Away Context
Dortmund at home (6 matches) vs Ein Frankfurt away (5 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.60
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.60
67%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dortmund
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ein Frankfurt
Away form
D
L
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dortmund Wins
3
Draws
1
Ein Frankfurt Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.8
Dortmund3 – 2Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt3 – 3Dortmund
Ein Frankfurt2 – 0Dortmund
Dortmund2 – 0Ein Frankfurt
Dortmund3 – 1Ein Frankfurt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dortmundvs
Ein Frankfurt
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded / game
2.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 72.4%→Latest 69.8%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.4%→Latest 63.8%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Dortmund's 10 matches and 3 of Ein Frankfurt's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?