Bayern Munich vs FC Koln Head to Head, Prediction

Allianz Arena
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.08
Draw
13.09
Away Win
18.68
Match Prediction
Data favours
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Bayern Munich a very strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bayern Munich win
Latest market chance 88.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
88.1% → 88.0%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 7.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
7.9% → 7.9%
±0.0 pts
FC Koln win
Latest market chance 4.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
4.1% → 4.1%
±0.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
8 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 11Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bayern Munich
Draw
FC Koln
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bayern Munich
FC Koln
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
15th
9
Games Played
9
2.33
Points/Game
1.00
3.22
Goals/Game
1.11
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.56
23.6
Shots/Game
15.2
9.4
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Bayern Munich at home (4 matches) vs FC Koln away (6 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
0.33
5.00
Goals/Game
0.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bayern Munich
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
5.0
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
FC Koln
Away form
L
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bayern Munich Wins
5
Draws
0
FC Koln Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-05-162025-2026
Bayern Munich5 – 1FC Koln
2026-01-142025-2026
FC Koln1 – 3Bayern Munich
2024-04-132023-2024
Bayern Munich2 – 0FC Koln
2023-11-242023-2024
FC Koln0 – 1Bayern Munich
2023-05-272022-2023
FC Koln1 – 2Bayern Munich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bayern Munich
vs
FC Koln
Recent Scoring Profile
3.20
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
90.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
79.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
63.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
48.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 82.6%→Latest 79.0%−3.6 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 18 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 48.3%−2.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 18 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
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