Augsburg vs Union Berlin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
WWK Arena
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.85
Draw
4.14
Away Win
3.96
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Augsburg
Union Berlin
19'
🟥 Felix Uduokhai
31'
🟨 Janik Haberer
36'
🟨 Leopold Querfeld
Juma Bah 🟥
63'
Han-Noah Massengo (Fabian Rieder) ⚽
71'
74'
⚽ Janik Haberer
77'
🟨 Mekhi Gray
Match Statistics ?
69%
Ball Possession
31%
27
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
1
10
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
F. Dahmen
Abdulay Bah
C. Matsima
C. Brackelmann
M. Wolf
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens
A. Kade
A. Ibrahimović
M. Gregoritsch
Union Berlin (4-2-3-1)
F. Rønnow
J. Haberer
Z. Van Den Bosch
F. Uduokhai
T. Rothe
A. Schäfer
R. Khedira
Jeong Woo-Yeong
M. Aebischer
Livan Burcu
T. Skarke
Player Ratings ?
Augsburg
H. MassengoM8.0
F. RiederM7.7
M. WolfM7.2
Union Berlin
F. RønnowG6.8
O. BurkeF6.7
L. QuerfeldD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Augsburg edge recent form, attack and defence, Union Berlin edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Augsburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Union Berlin stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Augsburg have enjoyed a solid run at home with two wins and three draws from their last five outings, whereas Union Berlin have struggled away with just one win and four defeats in their recent five matches. The hosts have found the net in all of their last five home games but have only kept a clean sheet once during that same period. Augsburg face some selection headaches with two players out and one doubtful, while Union Berlin carry an even heavier burden with three confirmed absences and two others in doubt. Augsburg rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Union Berlin rate stronger on head-to-head. Union Berlin won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 16 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Augsburg's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Augsburg's implied win probability has fallen by 2.5 percentage points, while Union Berlin's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Union Berlin losing run
3
Union Berlin points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Augsburg
Augsburg's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Augsburg win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 52.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
54.6% → 52.1%
−2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.4%
+0.1 pts
Union Berlin win
Latest market chance 24.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.1% → 24.5%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Augsburg
Draw
Union Berlin
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AugsburgUnion Berlin
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
17th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
0.83
2.67
Goals/Game
0.83
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.83
16.9
Shots/Game
10.2
6.7
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Augsburg at home (5 matches) vs Union Berlin away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
0.20
1.80
Goals/Game
0.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
3.20
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Augsburg
Home form
D
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Union Berlin
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Augsburg Wins
2
Draws
1
Union Berlin Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Union Berlin4 – 0Augsburg
Augsburg1 – 1Union Berlin
Augsburg1 – 2Union Berlin
Union Berlin0 – 2Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 0Union Berlin
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Augsburgvs
Union Berlin
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.90
Goals conceded / game
2.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 64.0%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.6%→Latest 64.1%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Augsburg's 10 matches and 4 of Union Berlin's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?