Augsburg vs Mainz Head to Head, Prediction
WWK Arena
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.73
Draw
3.85
Away Win
2.38
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mainz edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Mainz slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mainz stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 35.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.4% → 35.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.7%
±0.0 pts
Mainz win
Latest market chance 39.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.9% → 39.9%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Augsburg
Draw
Mainz
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AugsburgMainz
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
12th
9
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
1.11
2.22
Goals/Game
2.00
2.22
Conceded/Game
2.11
16.9
Shots/Game
16.0
6.7
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Augsburg at home (5 matches) vs Mainz away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.80
1.80
Goals/Game
2.40
1.40
Conceded/Game
2.20
20%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Augsburg
Home form
W
D
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mainz
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Augsburg Wins
0
Draws
1
Mainz Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.6
Mainz2 – 0Augsburg
Augsburg1 – 4Mainz
Mainz0 – 0Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 3Mainz
Mainz1 – 0Augsburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Augsburgvs
Mainz
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.40
Goals conceded / game
2.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.7%→Latest 65.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.8%→Latest 66.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Augsburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?