Augsburg vs Freiburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
WWK Arena
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.18
Draw
3.78
Away Win
2.20
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Augsburg
Freiburg
Michael Gregoritsch (Arijon Ibrahimovic) ⚽
18'
52'
🟨 Maximilian Eggestein
65'
⚽ Igor Matanović (Yannick Engelhardt)
83'
🟨 Matthias Ginter
85'
⚽ Cyriaque Irié (Vincenzo Grifo)
90+1'
🟨 Vincenzo Grifo
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
2
1
Corner Kicks
2
7
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
F. Dahmen
Y. Keitel
J. Gouweleeuw
C. Matsima
R. Fellhauer
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens
A. Kade
A. Ibrahimović
M. Gregoritsch
Freiburg (4-2-3-1)
M. Backhaus
L. Kübler
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
Y. Engelhardt
J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant
L. Höler
Player Ratings ?
Augsburg
M. GregoritschF8.2
A. IbrahimovićM7.1
Y. KeitelD6.8
Freiburg
I. MatanovićF8.2
Cyriaque Kalou IriéF7.8
Y. EngelhardtM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Augsburg edge attack and head-to-head, Freiburg edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Augsburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Freiburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Augsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Freiburg arrive at Augsburg having recorded just one win and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while the visitors have secured two victories alongside three draws in their corresponding home outings over that same span. Augsburg have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have managed only a single clean sheet during that period. Three Augsburg players are unavailable for selection, whereas Freiburg face two doubts ahead of the match. Freiburg rate stronger on form and defence, while Augsburg rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 31.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.9% → 31.5%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.8%
+0.1 pts
Freiburg win
Latest market chance 43.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.4% → 43.6%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Augsburg
Draw
Freiburg
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AugsburgFreiburg
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
3rd
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
1.86
2.43
Goals/Game
2.29
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.29
16.9
Shots/Game
15.9
6.7
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Augsburg at home (5 matches) vs Freiburg away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.40
1.80
Goals/Game
1.40
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.40
20%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Augsburg
Home form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Freiburg
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Augsburg Wins
2
Draws
2
Freiburg Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Augsburg2 – 2Freiburg
Freiburg1 – 3Augsburg
Augsburg0 – 0Freiburg
Freiburg3 – 1Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 1Freiburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Augsburgvs
Freiburg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
2.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.50
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.8%→Latest 63.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.6%→Latest 65.9%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Augsburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?