Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
WWK Arena
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
11.73
Draw
9.84
Away Win
1.17
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
Robin Fellhauer ⚽
1'
Chrislain Matsima 🟨
42'
Rodrigo Ribeiro 🟨
43'
55'
⚽ Ismael Saibari (Harry Kane)
Hennes Behrens 🟨
62'
Rodrigo Ribeiro ⚽
64'
80'
⚽ Nathaniel Brown (Harry Kane)
Match Statistics ?
30%
Ball Possession
70%
12
Total Shots
30
5
Shots on Goal
10
5
Corner Kicks
9
10
Fouls
6
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Augsburg (3-4-2-1)
F. Dahmen
Abdulay Bah
C. Matsima
C. Brackelmann
Seol Young-Woo
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
Hennes Behrens
R. Fellhauer
A. Ibrahimović
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1)
M. Neuer
J. Stanišić
D. Upamecano
J. Tah
A. Davies
J. Kimmich
A. Pavlović
M. Olise
I. Saibari
L. Díaz
H. Kane
Player Ratings ?
Augsburg
Rodrigo RibeiroF7.5
R. FellhauerM7.4
F. DahmenG7.4
Bayern Munich
H. KaneF8.2
N. BrownD7.7
I. SaibariM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Bayern Munich a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bayern Munich stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bayern Munich have enjoyed a strong run in their last five outings away from home, recording four wins and one draw without defeat, while Augsburg remain unbeaten at this venue with two victories and three draws from their own recent five matches. At home, Augsburg have found the net in all five of their last matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same span. Augsburg have four players unavailable for selection, while Bayern Munich face two absentees ahead of the fixture. Bayern Munich rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Augsburg won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 24 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Bayern Munich's 4, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 22-day comparison window, Augsburg's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Bayern Munich's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Bayern Munich a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Bayern Munich points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Bayern Munich win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Augsburg win
Latest market chance 7.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
9.6% → 7.9%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 10.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
12.8% → 10.7%
−2.1 pts
Bayern Munich win
Latest market chance 81.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
77.6% → 81.4%
+3.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Augsburg
Draw
Bayern Munich
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AugsburgBayern Munich
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
2nd
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
2.50
2.75
Goals/Game
3.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
16.9
Shots/Game
23.6
6.7
Shots on Target
9.4
Home vs Away Context
Augsburg at home (5 matches) vs Bayern Munich away (6 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
2.33
1.80
Goals/Game
2.00
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.00
20%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Augsburg
Home form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bayern Munich
Away form
W
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Augsburg Wins
1
Draws
0
Bayern Munich Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.0
Bayern Munich1 – 2Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 3Bayern Munich
Augsburg1 – 3Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich3 – 0Augsburg
Augsburg2 – 3Bayern Munich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Augsburgvs
Bayern Munich
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
3.60
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.10
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 81.7%→Latest 83.5%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.8%→Latest 63.9%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Augsburg's 10 matches and 6 of Bayern Munich's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?