Wolfsburg vs Osnabruck Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Volkswagen Arena
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.58
Draw
4.75
Away Win
5.13
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Wolfsburg
Osnabruck
Fabian Reese ⚽
30'
35'
🟨 Jannik Müller
Muhammed Damar 🟨
44'
Muhammed Damar (Fabian Reese) ⚽
49'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
31
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
4
9
Corner Kicks
3
7
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Wolfsburg (4-2-3-1)
T. Wellenreuther
S. Kumbedi
H. Wahl
Cleiton
J. Mæhle
M. Arnold
Vinicius Souza
A. Bernhardsson
M. Damar
F. Reese
R. Glatzel
Osnabruck (3-4-2-1)
J. Krumrey
R. Fabinski
J. Müller
N. Wiemann
K. Faber
A. Beck
B. Jacobsen
J. Gómez
R. Meißner
L. Münst
D. Kyereh
Player Ratings ?
Wolfsburg
F. ReeseM9.0
M. DamarM8.2
T. WellenreutherG7.9
Osnabruck
R. FabinskiD6.9
J. KrumreyG6.8
A. BeckM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wolfsburg edge recent form and attack, Osnabruck edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Osnabruck slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Wolfsburg arrive at home with a solid unbeaten run in their last five outings, while Osnabruck have struggled away from home, managing just one win and a draw in that same span. At the ground, Wolfsburg have found the net in four of their last five matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Wolfsburg rate stronger on form and attack, while Osnabruck hold a slight advantage in defence. Over the 5-day comparison window, Wolfsburg's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Osnabruck's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wolfsburg win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 60.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
62.9% → 60.8%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
19.6% → 20.4%
+0.8 pts
Osnabruck win
Latest market chance 18.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
17.5% → 18.8%
+1.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wolfsburg
Draw
Osnabruck
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolfsburgOsnabruck
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
9th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
1.22
2.56
Goals/Game
1.56
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.67
18.8
Shots/Game
13.6
6.6
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Wolfsburg at home (5 matches) vs Osnabruck away (6 matches)
2.20
Points/Game
0.67
2.80
Goals/Game
1.17
1.20
Conceded/Game
1.83
60%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolfsburg
Home form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Osnabruck
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Wolfsburg and Osnabruck.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolfsburgvs
Osnabruck
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.6%→Latest 67.8%−1.8 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 63.8%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?