Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Volkswagen Arena
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.67
Draw
4.18
Away Win
5.06
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Alexander Bernhardsson (Vinicius de Souza Costa) ⚽
1'
21'
⚽ Patrick Mainka (Jan Schoppner)
Hauke Wahl 🟨
32'
Robert Glatzel (Joakim Maehle) ⚽
45+1'
Timon Wellenreuther 🟨
58'
Fabian Reese 🟨
62'
Muhammed Damar (Fabian Reese) ⚽
65'
69'
🟨 Michael Heule
Alessio Besio 🟨
85'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
19
Total Shots
23
10
Shots on Goal
9
8
Corner Kicks
8
15
Fouls
9
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
6
7
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Wolfsburg (4-3-3)
T. Wellenreuther
S. Kumbedi
H. Wahl
Cleiton
J. Mæhle
Y. Gerhardt
Vinicius Souza
M. Damar
A. Bernhardsson
R. Glatzel
F. Reese
Heidenheim (4-4-2)
T. Dähne
O. Mhamdi
P. Mainka
J. Föhrenbach
M. Heule
P. Hennrich
J. Schöppner
J. Niehues
C. Conteh
M. Kaufmann
A. Vogt
Player Ratings ?
Wolfsburg
A. BernhardssonF8.2
R. GlatzelF8.2
T. WellenreutherG8.0
Heidenheim
P. MainkaD7.5
M. CostlyF7.0
O. MhamdiD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wolfsburg edge attack and head-to-head, Heidenheim edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Heidenheim slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wolfsburg have enjoyed a solid run at home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Heidenheim sit in mixed form away with two victories, one draw, and two defeats over the same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept a clean sheet once during that period. Wolfsburg rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Heidenheim hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Wolfsburg's implied win probability has risen by 4.2 percentage points, while Heidenheim's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wolfsburg win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 55.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.5% → 55.7%
+4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.9% → 23.5%
−1.4 pts
Heidenheim win
Latest market chance 20.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
23.6% → 20.9%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wolfsburg
Draw
Heidenheim
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolfsburgHeidenheim

Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
3rd
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
2.00
2.71
Goals/Game
2.00
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.71
18.8
Shots/Game
18.1
6.6
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Wolfsburg at home (5 matches) vs Heidenheim away (5 matches)
2.20
Points/Game
0.80
2.80
Goals/Game
1.20
1.20
Conceded/Game
2.20
60%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Wolfsburg
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
3.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Heidenheim
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolfsburg Wins
2
Draws
2
Heidenheim Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Wolfsburg1 – 1Heidenheim
Heidenheim1 – 3Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg0 – 1Heidenheim
Heidenheim1 – 3Wolfsburg
Heidenheim1 – 1Wolfsburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolfsburgvs
Heidenheim

Recent Scoring Profile
3.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.5%→Latest 68.6%+3.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.1%→Latest 67.6%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Wolfsburg's 10 matches and 2 of Heidenheim's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?