Osnabruck vs Greuther Furth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stadion an der Bremer Brücke
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.15
Draw
3.73
Away Win
3.32
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Osnabruck
Greuther Furth
Patrick Kammerbauer 🟨
30'
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh (Robin Meißner) ⚽
37'
Robin Meißner (Daniel-Kofi Kyereh) ⚽
39'
Ismail Badjie ⚽
75'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
14
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
7
8
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Osnabruck (3-4-2-1)
J. Krumrey
R. Fabinski
J. Müller
N. Wiemann
P. Kammerbauer
L. Münst
B. Jacobsen
J. Gómez
A. Beck
D. Kyereh
R. Meißner
Greuther Furth (4-2-3-1)
Florian Hellstern
J. Dehm
J. Heuer
Hendry Aron Blank
G. Itter
P. Will
S. Bansé
F. Klaus
S. Appelkamp
Ole Pohlmann
J. Siebatcheu
Player Ratings ?
Osnabruck
R. MeißnerF8.5
D. KyerehM8.5
I. BadjieM7.4
Greuther Furth
Florian HellsternG6.7
D. SrbenyF6.5
Hendry Aron BlankD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Greuther Furth edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Greuther Furth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Greuther Furth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Greuther Furth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Greuther Furth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Greuther Furth have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Osnabruck sit on two victories in their last five home matches. Osnabruck have scored in four of their last five home matches and failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Greuther Furth hold a slight advantage in form and attack and defence and head-to-head. Osnabruck won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 7 April 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Greuther Furth's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Osnabruck's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points, while Greuther Furth's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Osnabruck
Osnabruck's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Osnabruck win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Osnabruck win
Latest market chance 44.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.6% → 44.8%
+3.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 25.9%
−0.4 pts
Greuther Furth win
Latest market chance 29.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.1% → 29.4%
−2.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Osnabruck
Draw
Greuther Furth
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Osnabruck
Greuther Furth
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
10th
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
1.13
1.38
Goals/Game
1.50
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.62
13.6
Shots/Game
14.3
5.1
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Osnabruck at home (7 matches) vs Greuther Furth away (9 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.56
1.57
Goals/Game
0.89
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.33
43%
Win Rate
11%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Osnabruck
Home form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Greuther Furth
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Osnabruck Wins
2
Draws
1
Greuther Furth Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-10-242026-2027
Osnabruck3 – 0Greuther Furth
2024-04-072023-2024
Osnabruck2 – 0Greuther Furth
2023-10-272023-2024
Greuther Furth4 – 0Osnabruck
2021-01-262020-2021
Osnabruck0 – 1Greuther Furth
2020-09-202020-2021
Greuther Furth1 – 1Osnabruck
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Osnabruck
vs
Greuther Furth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
79.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.3%→Latest 58.8%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 61.7%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Oct 25
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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