Nurnberg vs Kaiserslautern Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.07
Draw
3.90
Away Win
3.34
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern
27'
🟨 Ibrahim Kanate
56'
🟨 Paul Joly
58'
⚽ Erencan Yardimci (Mario Sauer)
88'
🟨 Maxwell Gyamfi
90+5'
🟨 Thierry Fidjeu Tazemeta
90+6'
🟨 Marlon Ritter
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
31
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Goal
7
11
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Nurnberg (4-2-3-1)
J. Reichert
T. Janisch
A. Kalogeropoulos
F. Otto
E. Porstner
A. Marhiev
J. Fernandez
R. Ghrieb
J. Justvan
Rafael Lubach
P. Scobel
Kaiserslautern (3-4-2-1)
J. Krahl
J. Elvedi
M. Gyamfi
A. Murphy
P. Joly
S. Şahin
M. Sauer
Mika Haas
N. Skyttä
I. Kanate
M. Luković
Player Ratings ?
Nurnberg
J. ReichertG7.7
T. JanischD7.4
A. MarhievM7.2
Kaiserslautern
J. KrahlG9.0
M. SauerM7.7
E. YardımcıF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Nurnberg edge attack and head-to-head, Kaiserslautern edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kaiserslautern stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nurnberg arrive at home with a perfect record in their last five outings, while Kaiserslautern have managed just one win from their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in all of their last five matches but have kept two clean sheets in that same period. Nurnberg rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Kaiserslautern rate stronger on defence, while form is closely matched. Nurnberg won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 21 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Kaiserslautern's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Nurnberg's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points, while Kaiserslautern's implied win probability has risen by 3.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Nurnberg
Nurnberg's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Nurnberg win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nurnberg win
Latest market chance 46.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
50.7% → 46.5%
−4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 24.9%
+0.7 pts
Kaiserslautern win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
25.1% → 28.6%
+3.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Nurnberg
Draw
Kaiserslautern
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NurnbergKaiserslautern
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
4th
8
Games Played
8
2.25
Points/Game
1.88
2.62
Goals/Game
1.00
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.50
18.8
Shots/Game
14.6
6.8
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Nurnberg at home (6 matches) vs Kaiserslautern away (7 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
1.71
2.50
Goals/Game
0.57
1.17
Conceded/Game
0.57
67%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nurnberg
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kaiserslautern
Away form
D
W
L
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nurnberg Wins
2
Draws
3
Kaiserslautern Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Nurnberg3 – 0Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern1 – 1Nurnberg
Kaiserslautern1 – 2Nurnberg
Nurnberg0 – 0Kaiserslautern
Nurnberg1 – 1Kaiserslautern
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nurnbergvs
Kaiserslautern
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 61.2%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 63.0%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Nurnberg's 10 matches and 1 of Kaiserslautern's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?