Nurnberg vs Darmstadt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
4.46
Away Win
4.14
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Nurnberg
Darmstadt
Tim Janisch 🟨
17'
Piet Scobel (Adam Markhiev) ⚽
50'
56'
🟨 Yannik Luhrs
William Bøving ⚽
88'
90+3'
🟨 Milan Smit
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
22
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
2
10
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Nurnberg (4-2-3-1)
J. Reichert
T. Janisch
A. Kalogeropoulos
S. Mkrtchyan
E. Porstner
A. Marhiev
J. Fernandez
J. Justvan
W. Bøving
Rafael Lubach
P. Scobel
Darmstadt (3-5-2)
A. Brunst
A. Vukotić
Y. Lührs
R. Petretta
W. Mikelbrencis
M. Richter
H. Akiyama
K. Klefisch
N. Weißhaupt
M. Smit
Lee Ho-Jae
Player Ratings ?
Nurnberg
W. BøvingM8.1
P. ScobelF7.8
A. MarhievM7.7
Darmstadt
N. WeißhauptM6.8
A. BrunstG6.6
A. VukotićD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Nurnberg
Nurnberg rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Darmstadt edge head-to-head, giving Nurnberg a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Nurnberg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Darmstadt stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Nurnberg have secured three wins and a draw from their last five home outings, while Darmstadt remain winless in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Nurnberg rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Darmstadt rate stronger on head-to-head. Darmstadt won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 23 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Nurnberg's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Nurnberg's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Darmstadt's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Nurnberg a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Darmstadt losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
0
Darmstadt points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Darmstadt
Darmstadt's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Darmstadt win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Nurnberg remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Nurnberg win
Latest market chance 54.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
53.4% → 54.9%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.2% → 22.4%
+0.2 pts
Darmstadt win
Latest market chance 22.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 22.7%
−1.8 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NurnbergDarmstadt
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
17th
10
Games Played
10
2.10
Points/Game
0.90
2.40
Goals/Game
0.90
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.90
18.8
Shots/Game
11.8
6.8
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Nurnberg at home (6 matches) vs Darmstadt away (6 matches)
2.17
Points/Game
0.00
2.50
Goals/Game
0.17
1.17
Conceded/Game
3.17
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Nurnberg
Home form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Darmstadt
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Nurnberg Wins
1
Draws
1
Darmstadt Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Darmstadt2 – 0Nurnberg
Nurnberg0 – 1Darmstadt
Nurnberg1 – 0Darmstadt
Darmstadt1 – 1Nurnberg
Nurnberg0 – 1Darmstadt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Nurnbergvs
Darmstadt
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 63.2%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 62.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?