Magdeburg vs St Pauli Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Avnet Arena
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.44
Draw
3.61
Away Win
2.87
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Magdeburg
St Pauli
Mateusz Zukowski (Torben Müsel) ⚽
27'
Garcia MacNulty (Felipe Chávez) ⚽
48'
56'
🟨 David Nemeth
Tobias Müller 🟨
57'
58'
⚽ Eric Smith (Branimir Hrgota)
60'
🟨 Joel Chima Fujita
Garcia MacNulty 🟨
61'
65'
🟨 Eric Smith
82'
🟥 Louis Oppie
Herbert Bockhorn (Luka Hyryläinen) ⚽
89'
Roko Simic (Pierre Nadjombe) ⚽
90+1'
90+6'
🟨 Samuel Klein
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
7
10
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Magdeburg (4-3-3)
D. Reimann
P. Nadjombe
T. Müller
A. MacNulty
A. Nollenberger
T. Müsel
L. Hyryläinen
Leon Mergner
E. Iyoha
M. Żukowski
B. Atik
St Pauli (3-4-1-2)
B. Voll
E. Smith
D. Nemeth
L. Ritzka
A. Pyrka
M. Rasmussen
J. Fujita
L. Oppie
C. Metcalfe
B. Hrgota
Abdoulie Ceesay
Player Ratings ?
Magdeburg
M. ŻukowskiF7.9
R. ŠimićF7.4
T. MüselM7.2
St Pauli
E. SmithD7.2
B. HrgotaF7.1
C. MetcalfeM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Magdeburg edge recent form and attack, St Pauli edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Pauli slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
St Pauli slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Magdeburg have secured four victories from their last five home outings, whereas St Pauli remain unbeaten in their away record with five draws from the same number of fixtures. The hosts have scored in all five of their recent home matches while also keeping three clean sheets during that identical five-game sample. Magdeburg rate stronger on form and attack, while St Pauli hold a slight advantage in defence and head-to-head. Magdeburg won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 10 February 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to St Pauli's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Magdeburg win
Latest market chance 39.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.0% → 39.8%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 26.1%
+0.2 pts
St Pauli win
Latest market chance 34.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.0% → 34.1%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Magdeburg
Draw
St Pauli
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MagdeburgSt Pauli
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
8th
10
Games Played
10
1.70
Points/Game
1.20
2.10
Goals/Game
1.20
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.20
14.5
Shots/Game
15.2
5.5
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Magdeburg at home (7 matches) vs St Pauli away (8 matches)
2.57
Points/Game
0.75
3.29
Goals/Game
1.00
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.75
86%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Magdeburg
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Pauli
Away form
D
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Magdeburg Wins
2
Draws
1
St Pauli Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Magdeburg4 – 1St Pauli
Magdeburg1 – 0St Pauli
St Pauli0 – 0Magdeburg
Magdeburg1 – 2St Pauli
St Pauli3 – 0Magdeburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Magdeburgvs
St Pauli
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.8%→Latest 58.2%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.1%→Latest 61.7%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?