Karlsruhe vs Heidenheim Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BBBank Wildpark
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.41
Draw
3.86
Away Win
2.07
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Karlsruhe
Heidenheim
Tim Civeja (Marvin Wanitzek) ⚽
19'
Santeri Väänänen 🟨
55'
77'
🟨 Marnon Busch
78'
🟨 Mikkel Kaufmann
Marvin Wanitzek ⚽
80'
88'
⚽ Alessandro Vogt (Leart Paqarda)
Noel Eichinger 🟨
88'
Maximilian Senft 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
13
Total Shots
18
9
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
6
8
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Karlsruhe (3-5-2)
H. Bernat
Paul Scholl
C. Kobald
S. Trémoulet
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
S. Väänänen
M. Wanitzek
K. Wiethaup
D. Ofli
T. Civeja
S. Fukuda
Heidenheim (4-4-2)
T. Dähne
O. Mhamdi
P. Mainka
J. Föhrenbach
M. Heule
M. Costly
J. Schöppner
P. Hennrich
C. Conteh
B. Zivzivadze
M. Kaufmann
Player Ratings ?
Karlsruhe
M. WanitzekM8.5
T. CivejaF7.4
Paul SchollD7.1
Heidenheim
T. DähneG8.0
A. VogtF7.7
P. MainkaD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Heidenheim
Heidenheim rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Heidenheim a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Heidenheim have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Karlsruhe sit on two victories but three defeats in their most recent five home fixtures. Karlsruhe have found the net in three of their last five home matches and have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Heidenheim rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Heidenheim won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 17 March 2023, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Karlsruhe's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Karlsruhe's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points, while Heidenheim's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Heidenheim a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Heidenheim
Heidenheim's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Heidenheim win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Karlsruhe win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.6% → 29.9%
−2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.1%
−0.3 pts
Heidenheim win
Latest market chance 45.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
42.0% → 45.0%
+3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Karlsruhe
Draw
Heidenheim
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KarlsruheHeidenheim
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
6th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
1.67
1.22
Goals/Game
1.78
2.22
Conceded/Game
1.78
15.5
Shots/Game
18.1
5.8
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
Karlsruhe at home (7 matches) vs Heidenheim away (5 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.80
2.00
Goals/Game
1.20
1.57
Conceded/Game
2.20
57%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Karlsruhe
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Heidenheim
Away form
W
L
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Karlsruhe Wins
2
Draws
1
Heidenheim Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.4
Heidenheim5 – 2Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe0 – 0Heidenheim
Heidenheim2 – 0Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe3 – 2Heidenheim
Heidenheim1 – 2Karlsruhe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Karlsruhevs
Heidenheim
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.5%→Latest 64.0%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.7%→Latest 66.2%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?