Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
BBBank Wildpark
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.34
Draw
3.78
Away Win
2.94
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Karlsruhe
Darmstadt
Shio Fukuda (Marvin Wanitzek) ⚽
5'
Marvin Wanitzek (Shio Fukuda) ⚽
13'
Christoph Kobald (Marvin Wanitzek) ⚽
50'
Kevin Wiethaup ⚽
65'
Sandro Tremoulet 🟨
71'
71'
🟨 Milan Smit
71'
🟨 Aleksandar Vukotić
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
15
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Karlsruhe (3-4-3)
H. Bernat
C. Kobald
M. Franke
S. Trémoulet
S. Jung
K. Wiethaup
S. Väänänen
V. Bergh
M. Wanitzek
S. Fukuda
N. Eichinger
Darmstadt (4-2-3-1)
M. Schuhen
W. Mikelbrencis
P. Pfeiffer
A. Vukotić
R. Petretta
K. Klefisch
H. Akiyama
M. Richter
M. Smit
L. Duijvestijn
Lee Ho-Jae
Player Ratings ?
Karlsruhe
M. WanitzekF9.1
K. WiethaupM8.2
C. KobaldD8.0
Darmstadt
K. KlefischM6.7
P. PfeifferD6.6
I. El KadiriF6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Karlsruhe edge attack, Darmstadt edge recent form and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Darmstadt slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Karlsruhe stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Darmstadt stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Darmstadt have struggled away from home with just a single draw in their last five outings, while Karlsruhe have also endured a difficult run at this venue with only one victory to show for their last five matches. Karlsruhe have scored in three of their last five home games but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Darmstadt rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Karlsruhe rate stronger on attack, while defence is closely matched. Karlsruhe won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Darmstadt's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Karlsruhe's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Darmstadt's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Darmstadt losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Darmstadt points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Karlsruhe remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Karlsruhe win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
43.0% → 41.9%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.0% → 25.4%
+1.4 pts
Darmstadt win
Latest market chance 32.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.9% → 32.6%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Karlsruhe
Draw
Darmstadt
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KarlsruheDarmstadt
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
15th
7
Games Played
7
0.71
Points/Game
1.00
0.86
Goals/Game
1.14
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.5
Shots/Game
11.8
5.8
Shots on Target
2.8
Home vs Away Context
Karlsruhe at home (7 matches) vs Darmstadt away (6 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.00
2.00
Goals/Game
0.17
1.57
Conceded/Game
3.17
57%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Karlsruhe
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Darmstadt
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Karlsruhe Wins
2
Draws
1
Darmstadt Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
Karlsruhe4 – 0Darmstadt
Karlsruhe2 – 1Darmstadt
Darmstadt3 – 2Karlsruhe
Darmstadt3 – 0Karlsruhe
Karlsruhe3 – 3Darmstadt
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Karlsruhevs
Darmstadt
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.0%→Latest 63.2%−3.8 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.1%→Latest 65.6%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Karlsruhe's 10 matches and 2 of Darmstadt's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?