Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Holstein-Stadion
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.84
Draw
4.05
Away Win
2.28
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Holstein Kiel
Hertha
34'
🟨 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
Sebastian Schonlau 🟨
38'
David Zec 🟨
68'
90'
🟨 Paul Seguin
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
6
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
7
1
Corner Kicks
6
18
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Holstein Kiel (4-5-1)
T. Weiner
H. Sekine
N. Madsen
S. Schonlau
Leon Parduzi
A. Kaprálik
G. Balzi
J. Meffert
T. Wiese
J. Therkelsen
P. Harres
Hertha (4-2-3-1)
M. Gersbeck
J. Eitschberger
L. Gechter
N. Kolbe
D. Zeefuik
P. Seguin
K. Sessa
O. Adewumi
J. Þorsteinsson
J. Brekalo
S. Grønning
Player Ratings ?
Holstein Kiel
T. WeinerG7.9
Leon ParduziD7.3
Mark Richter MonserratF6.9
Hertha
L. GechterD7.4
M. GersbeckG7.4
P. SeguinM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hertha
Hertha rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Holstein Kiel edge defence, giving Hertha a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Holstein Kiel slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hertha slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hertha have secured four wins from their last five away fixtures, while Holstein Kiel have managed just a single victory in their last five home outings. Holstein Kiel have scored in all of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Hertha rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Holstein Kiel hold a slight advantage in defence. Holstein Kiel won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Hertha's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.75 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Hertha a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Hertha unbeaten run
3/4
One-goal H2H results
12
Hertha points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Holstein Kiel win
Latest market chance 34.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.2% → 34.0%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.0%
−0.1 pts
Hertha win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.6% → 41.9%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Holstein Kiel
Draw
Hertha
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Holstein KielHertha
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
1st
7
Games Played
7
0.57
Points/Game
3.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.71
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.14
13.6
Shots/Game
17.6
3.5
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Holstein Kiel at home (8 matches) vs Hertha away (7 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
2.43
1.50
Goals/Game
2.00
0.88
Conceded/Game
0.71
25%
Win Rate
71%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Holstein Kiel
Home form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hertha
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Holstein Kiel Wins
1
Draws
1
Hertha Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Hertha0 – 1Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel0 – 1Hertha
Hertha2 – 2Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel2 – 3Hertha
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Holstein Kielvs
Hertha
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 66.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.5%→Latest 67.1%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Holstein Kiel's 10 matches and 2 of Hertha's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?