Hertha vs Wolfsburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Olympiastadion
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.20
Draw
3.93
Away Win
3.06
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hertha
Wolfsburg
22'
🟥 Cleiton Santana dos Santos
Oluwaseun Adewumi ⚽
43'
Deyovaisio Zeefuik (Sebastian Gronning) ⚽
45+2'
47'
⚽ Kento Shiogai
48'
🟨 Vinicius de Souza Costa
Kevin Sessa 🟨
74'
Gustaf Nilsson 🟨
80'
Oluwaseun Adewumi 🟨
90+1'
90+4'
🟨 Kento Shiogai
90+5'
🟨 Tobias Strobl
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
7
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Hertha (4-2-3-1)
M. Gersbeck
D. Zeefuik
L. Gechter
N. Kolbe
M. Pedersen
P. Seguin
K. Sessa
O. Adewumi
J. Þorsteinsson
J. Brekalo
S. Grønning
Wolfsburg (4-3-3)
T. Wellenreuther
S. Kumbedi
H. Wahl
Cleiton
J. Mæhle
M. Arnold
M. Damar
Vinicius Souza
A. Bernhardsson
R. Glatzel
F. Reese
Player Ratings ?
Hertha
O. AdewumiM7.6
D. ZeefuikD7.6
S. GrønningF7.2
Wolfsburg
K. ShiogaiF7.3
T. WellenreutherG6.6
M. DamarM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hertha edge recent form and defence, Wolfsburg edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolfsburg slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hertha have enjoyed a perfect run with five wins from their last five home outings, while Wolfsburg have found little success on the road with just one victory and three draws in their last five away fixtures. Hertha have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same period. Hertha rate stronger on form and defence, while Wolfsburg rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Hertha won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 27 May 2023, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Wolfsburg's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Hertha's implied win probability has risen by 0.5 percentage points, while Wolfsburg's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Hertha unbeaten run
15
Hertha points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wolfsburg win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Hertha remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hertha win
Latest market chance 43.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.4% → 43.9%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.8% → 24.4%
+0.6 pts
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
32.8% → 31.7%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hertha
Draw
Wolfsburg
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HerthaWolfsburg
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
3rd
10
Games Played
10
2.80
Points/Game
1.90
2.30
Goals/Game
2.50
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.40
17.6
Shots/Game
18.8
6.6
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Hertha at home (6 matches) vs Wolfsburg away (7 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.29
2.17
Goals/Game
1.86
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.57
100%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hertha
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wolfsburg
Away form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hertha Wins
1
Draws
1
Wolfsburg Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Wolfsburg1 – 2Hertha
Hertha0 – 5Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg0 – 0Hertha
Hertha1 – 2Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg2 – 0Hertha
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Herthavs
Wolfsburg
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
2.60
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 69.0%→Latest 68.6%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.8%→Latest 69.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?