Hertha vs Greuther Furth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Olympiastadion
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.56
Draw
4.87
Away Win
5.26
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hertha
Greuther Furth
Linus Jasper Gechter 🟨
60'
Mads Valentin Pedersen (Josip Brekalo) ⚽
65'
Julian Eitschberger 🟨
72'
Paul Seguin (Josip Brekalo) ⚽
80'
90'
⚽ Jannis Heuer (Aaron Keller)
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
19
Total Shots
17
10
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
12
10
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Hertha (4-2-3-1)
M. Gersbeck
J. Eitschberger
L. Gechter
N. Kolbe
M. Pedersen
P. Seguin
K. Sessa
O. Adewumi
J. Þorsteinsson
J. Brekalo
L. Schuler
Greuther Furth (4-2-3-1)
Florian Hellstern
Lukas Reich
J. Heuer
Hendry Aron Blank
J. Dehm
S. Bansé
P. Will
F. Klaus
S. Appelkamp
Ole Pohlmann
O. Sillah
Player Ratings ?
Hertha
J. BrekaloM8.3
P. SeguinM8.1
M. GersbeckG7.2
Greuther Furth
Florian HellsternG8.1
J. HeuerD7.3
J. DehmD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hertha
Hertha rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Hertha a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hertha slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hertha have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Greuther Furth have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures in that same span. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that identical period. Hertha rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Hertha won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Greuther Furth's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Hertha's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Greuther Furth's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Hertha a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
Hertha unbeaten run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Hertha
Hertha's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hertha win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hertha win
Latest market chance 60.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
59.3% → 60.7%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.1% → 20.6%
−0.5 pts
Greuther Furth win
Latest market chance 18.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.6% → 18.7%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hertha
Draw
Greuther Furth
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HerthaGreuther Furth
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
14th
6
Games Played
6
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.83
Goals/Game
1.50
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.83
17.6
Shots/Game
14.3
6.6
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Hertha at home (6 matches) vs Greuther Furth away (9 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.56
2.17
Goals/Game
0.89
0.83
Conceded/Game
2.33
100%
Win Rate
11%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hertha
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Greuther Furth
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hertha Wins
3
Draws
1
Greuther Furth Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Hertha2 – 1Greuther Furth
Hertha2 – 1Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth3 – 3Hertha
Hertha1 – 0Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth2 – 1Hertha
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Herthavs
Greuther Furth
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.60
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.7%→Latest 69.2%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.0%→Latest 64.8%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
3 of Hertha's 10 matches and 3 of Greuther Furth's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?