Hertha vs Bielefeld Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Olympiastadion
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.81
Draw
4.02
Away Win
4.16
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Hertha
Bielefeld
33'
🟨 Jonas Thomas Kersken
41'
🟨 Joel Felix
Paul Seguin 🟨
78'
Josip Brekalo ⚽ (P)
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
71%
Ball Possession
29%
15
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Hertha (4-2-3-1)
M. Gersbeck
D. Zeefuik
L. Gechter
N. Kolbe
M. Pedersen
P. Seguin
K. Sessa
O. Adewumi
J. Þorsteinsson
J. Brekalo
S. Grønning
Bielefeld (5-3-2)
J. Kersken
F. Hagmann
M. Großer
M. Bauer
J. Felix
A. Sicker
L. Jensen
S. Russo
M. Wörl
M. Momuluh
J. Grodowski
Player Ratings ?
Hertha
N. KolbeD7.8
L. GechterD7.7
M. PedersenD7.3
Bielefeld
F. HagmannD7.0
M. BauerD6.9
L. SchneiderD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hertha edge recent form, attack and defence, Bielefeld edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hertha stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hertha slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hertha arrive at home with a perfect record in their last five outings, while Bielefeld have secured just two wins from five away fixtures. Hertha have scored in all of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Hertha rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Bielefeld rate stronger on head-to-head. Bielefeld won the most recent meeting 6-1 on 17 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Hertha's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
7
Hertha unbeaten run
15
Hertha points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hertha win
Latest market chance 52.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.9% → 52.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.7% → 23.7%
±0.0 pts
Bielefeld win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.5% → 23.4%
−0.1 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HerthaBielefeld
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
8th
8
Games Played
8
2.75
Points/Game
1.38
2.38
Goals/Game
1.62
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.62
17.6
Shots/Game
12.1
6.6
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Hertha at home (6 matches) vs Bielefeld away (7 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.29
2.17
Goals/Game
1.00
0.83
Conceded/Game
1.43
100%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hertha
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bielefeld
Away form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hertha Wins
1
Draws
3
Bielefeld Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Bielefeld6 – 1Hertha
Hertha1 – 1Bielefeld
Bielefeld1 – 1Hertha
Hertha2 – 0Bielefeld
Hertha0 – 0Bielefeld
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Herthavs
Bielefeld
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.3%→Latest 61.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.0%→Latest 63.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?