Heidenheim vs Hannover Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Voith-Arena
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.86
Away Win
3.39
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Heidenheim
Hannover
42'
🟨 Franz Roggow
Tim Siersleben ⚽
43'
55'
⚽ Stefán Teitur Thórdarson (Benjamin Källman)
63'
⚽ Jean Hugonet (Marcel Hartel)
Budu Zivzivadze (Christian Conteh) ⚽
66'
76'
🟨 Marcel Hartel
89'
🟨 Sandro Wagner
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
14
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
9
6
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Heidenheim (4-3-3)
T. Dähne
M. Busch
P. Mainka
T. Siersleben
M. Heule
P. Hennrich
J. Schöppner
J. Föhrenbach
M. Kaufmann
B. Zivzivadze
M. Costly
Hannover (3-4-2-1)
L. Weinkauf
V. Ghiță
B. Tomiak
J. Hugonet
W. Taïbi
F. Roggow
M. Hartel
H. Matsuda
S. Þórðarson
H. Chakroun
B. Källman
Player Ratings ?
Heidenheim
B. ZivzivadzeF8.2
P. HennrichM6.9
C. ContehF6.8
Hannover
S. ÞórðarsonM8.0
M. HartelM7.5
J. HugonetD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Heidenheim edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heidenheim slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Heidenheim slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hannover have struggled away from home with just a solitary victory in their last five outings, whereas Heidenheim boast an encouraging recent record at this venue having remained unbeaten in two wins and three draws across their last five matches. At home, Heidenheim have found the net in three of their last five matches while also keeping clean sheets on three occasions during that same period. Heidenheim rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and defence. Heidenheim won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 14 April 2023, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Hannover's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Heidenheim's implied win probability has risen by 0.4 percentage points, while Hannover's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Hannover
Hannover's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hannover win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Heidenheim remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Heidenheim win
Latest market chance 45.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.4% → 45.8%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.6% → 25.2%
+0.6 pts
Hannover win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
30.0% → 29.0%
−1.0 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 2Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 8
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Heidenheim
Draw
Hannover
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Heidenheim
Hannover
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
15th
10
Games Played
10
1.50
Points/Game
1.10
1.70
Goals/Game
1.00
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.60
18.1
Shots/Game
16.2
6.0
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Heidenheim at home (8 matches) vs Hannover away (8 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.62
1.88
Goals/Game
0.88
1.38
Conceded/Game
2.00
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Heidenheim
Home form
W
D
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Hannover
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Heidenheim Wins
3
Draws
1
Hannover Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-11-072026-2027
Heidenheim2 – 2Hannover
2023-04-142022-2023
Hannover0 – 3Heidenheim
2022-10-092022-2023
Heidenheim2 – 1Hannover
2022-02-042021-2022
Heidenheim3 – 1Hannover
2021-08-202021-2022
Hannover1 – 0Heidenheim
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Heidenheim
vs
Hannover
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.8%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
63.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
44.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
65.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 67.0%→Latest 63.9%−3.1 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 2Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 8
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 68.1%→Latest 65.1%−3.0 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 2Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 8
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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