Heidenheim vs Cottbus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Voith-Arena
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.76
Draw
4.63
Away Win
3.89
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Heidenheim
Cottbus
Jan Schoppner 🟨
11'
16'
🟨 Marcel Lotka
37'
🟨 King Samuel Manu
40'
⚽ Lucas Copado (Tolcay Cigerci)
Oualid Mhamdi (Paul Hennrich) ⚽
49'
Michael Heule 🟨
69'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
34
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Goal
3
15
Corner Kicks
2
6
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Heidenheim (4-4-2)
T. Dähne
O. Mhamdi
P. Mainka
J. Föhrenbach
M. Heule
P. Hennrich
J. Schöppner
J. Niehues
C. Conteh
B. Zivzivadze
M. Kaufmann
Cottbus (4-4-2)
M. Lotka
H. Rorig
K. Manu
T. Campulka
L. Guwara
T. Ciğerci
Luca Erlein
Lukas Michelbrink
Fousseny Doumbia
Dmytro Bohdanov
L. Copado
Player Ratings ?
Heidenheim
P. HennrichM7.7
M. CostlyF7.2
O. MhamdiD7.2
Cottbus
L. CopadoF7.9
T. CiğerciM7.4
M. LotkaG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Heidenheim
Heidenheim rate stronger in recent form and defence; attack is closely matched, giving Heidenheim a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Heidenheim stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Cottbus have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away outings, whereas Heidenheim remain unbeaten at home with three victories in that same span. Heidenheim have found the net in three of their last five home matches while also keeping three clean sheets during that identical period. Heidenheim rate stronger on form and defence, while attack is closely matched. Over the 6-day comparison window, Heidenheim's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points, while Cottbus's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Heidenheim a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Heidenheim
Heidenheim's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Heidenheim win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Heidenheim win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
56.2% → 54.7%
−1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.7% → 21.0%
+0.3 pts
Cottbus win
Latest market chance 24.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.0% → 24.4%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Heidenheim
Draw
Cottbus
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HeidenheimCottbus
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
1.13
1.88
Goals/Game
2.00
1.88
Conceded/Game
2.12
18.1
Shots/Game
14.5
6.0
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Heidenheim at home (8 matches) vs Cottbus away (7 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
1.88
Goals/Game
1.29
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.57
38%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Heidenheim
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cottbus
Away form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Heidenheim and Cottbus.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Heidenheimvs
Cottbus
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.6%→Latest 74.2%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 69.7%→Latest 71.2%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Heidenheim's 10 matches and 1 of Cottbus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?