Hannover vs Dresden Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.13
Draw
3.76
Away Win
3.38
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hannover
Dresden
11'
⚽ Nicolai Rapp (Friedrich Müller)
Husseyn Chakroun (Benjamin Källman) ⚽
54'
59'
🟨 Friedrich Müller
Marcel Hartel ⚽ (P)
61'
65'
🟥 Friedrich Müller
Jean Hugonet 🟨
86'
90+4'
🟨 Robert Wagner
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
23
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
3
13
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Hannover (3-4-2-1)
L. Weinkauf
V. Ghiță
B. Tomiak
J. Hugonet
E. Sahiti
S. Þórðarson
M. Hartel
K. Oudenne
H. Matsuda
H. Chakroun
B. Källman
Dresden (4-2-3-1)
L. Grill
J. Sterner
N. Rapp
F. Muller
A. Rossipal
R. Wagner
T. Raschl
P. Čović
N. Hauptmann
J. Lemmer
C. Daferner
Player Ratings ?
Hannover
H. ChakrounM8.2
M. HartelM7.4
B. TomiakD7.3
Dresden
N. RappD7.3
J. SternerD6.7
R. WagnerM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hannover edge attack, Dresden edge recent form and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dresden stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hannover slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Dresden slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dresden have struggled on the road with no wins from their last five away fixtures, while Hannover remain competitive at home having secured just one victory in that same span. Hannover continue to find the net in four of their last five home matches but have yet to keep a clean sheet during that period. Dresden rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Hannover hold a slight advantage in attack, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Hannover's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Dresden's implied win probability has risen by 0.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Hannover
Hannover's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hannover win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hannover win
Latest market chance 44.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
46.3% → 44.6%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
24.3% → 25.7%
+1.4 pts
Dresden win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.7%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hannover
Draw
Dresden
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HannoverDresden
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
17th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
0.89
0.89
Goals/Game
1.22
1.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
16.2
Shots/Game
12.0
5.4
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Hannover at home (6 matches) vs Dresden away (8 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.25
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.62
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hannover
Home form
L
D
W
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dresden
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hannover Wins
1
Draws
3
Dresden Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Hannover2 – 1Dresden
Hannover0 – 0Dresden
Dresden2 – 2Hannover
Hannover0 – 0Dresden
Dresden2 – 0Hannover
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hannovervs
Dresden
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.1%→Latest 59.9%−4.2 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.2%→Latest 62.5%−2.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?