Dresden vs Greuther Furth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.89
Away Win
3.81
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Dresden
Greuther Furth
1'
🟨 Hendry. Blank
Robert Wagner (Niklas Hauptmann) ⚽
31'
Ben Bobzien (Tobias Raschl) ⚽
41'
Nicolai Rapp 🟨
50'
Vincent Vermeij (Ben Bobzien) ⚽
55'
62'
🟥 Hendry. Blank
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
9
9
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Dresden (4-2-3-1)
L. Grill
J. Sterner
N. Rapp
A. Muhamedbegović
S. Straudi
R. Wagner
T. Raschl
P. Čović
N. Hauptmann
B. Bobzien
V. Vermeij
Greuther Furth (4-2-3-1)
Florian Hellstern
J. Dehm
J. Heuer
Hendry Aron Blank
G. Itter
S. Bansé
P. Will
F. Klaus
S. Appelkamp
Ole Pohlmann
O. Sillah
Player Ratings ?
Dresden
B. BobzienM9.0
L. GrillG8.5
R. WagnerM8.0
Greuther Furth
G. ItterD6.8
Ole PohlmannM6.7
B. ZankF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Greuther Furth edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Greuther Furth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Greuther Furth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Greuther Furth have struggled on the road with just a solitary draw from their last five away outings, whereas Dresden have secured three victories in that same span at home. Dresden have found the net in each of their last five home matches yet still managed to keep a clean sheet on three occasions during that identical period. Greuther Furth rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. Dresden won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Greuther Furth's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dresden win
Latest market chance 49.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.4% → 49.0%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 25.0%
+0.2 pts
Greuther Furth win
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 26.0%
+0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+2+10−1Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 5Nov 6
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dresden
Draw
Greuther Furth
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Dresden
Greuther Furth
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
1.20
1.20
Goals/Game
1.30
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.60
12.0
Shots/Game
14.3
4.2
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Dresden at home (7 matches) vs Greuther Furth away (9 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.56
1.86
Goals/Game
0.89
0.57
Conceded/Game
2.33
71%
Win Rate
11%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dresden
Home form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Greuther Furth
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dresden Wins
1
Draws
2
Greuther Furth Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-01-172025-2026
Dresden2 – 0Greuther Furth
2025-08-032025-2026
Greuther Furth3 – 2Dresden
2020-06-092019-2020
Dresden1 – 1Greuther Furth
2019-10-182019-2020
Greuther Furth2 – 0Dresden
2019-04-042018-2019
Greuther Furth0 – 0Dresden
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dresden
vs
Greuther Furth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
59.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
61.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 59.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 61.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 4 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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