Darmstadt vs Magdeburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.92
Draw
3.69
Away Win
2.37
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Darmstadt
Magdeburg
14'
⚽ Tobias Müller
Milan Smit (Marco Richter) ⚽
37'
45+2'
🟨 Roko Simic
Raoul Petretta 🟨
45+2'
45+3'
🟨 Pierre Nadjombe
Marco Richter 🟨
64'
66'
🟨 Garcia MacNulty
90+3'
🟨 Falko Michel
Match Statistics ?
31%
Ball Possession
69%
15
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
5
7
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Darmstadt (4-4-2)
M. Schuhen
W. Mikelbrencis
P. Pfeiffer
Y. Lührs
R. Petretta
M. Richter
K. Klefisch
H. Akiyama
N. Weißhaupt
F. Lakenmacher
M. Smit
Magdeburg (4-3-3)
D. Reimann
P. Nadjombe
T. Müller
A. MacNulty
A. Nollenberger
T. Müsel
L. Hyryläinen
F. Michel
E. Iyoha
R. Šimić
B. Atik
Player Ratings ?
Darmstadt
M. SmitF7.9
M. RichterM7.7
K. KlefischM6.9
Magdeburg
T. MüllerD8.0
F. MichelM7.1
A. NollenbergerD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Magdeburg
Magdeburg rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Magdeburg a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Magdeburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Darmstadt have secured two victories and two draws from their last five home outings, while Magdeburg have managed just one win alongside a draw in three defeats across their recent away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in two of their last five matches at this venue and have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Magdeburg rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 13 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Darmstadt's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points, while Magdeburg's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Magdeburg a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Darmstadt
Darmstadt's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Darmstadt win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Magdeburg remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Darmstadt win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.6% → 32.4%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 25.7%
+0.5 pts
Magdeburg win
Latest market chance 42.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
40.2% → 42.0%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Darmstadt
Draw
Magdeburg
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DarmstadtMagdeburg
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
0.89
Points/Game
1.78
0.89
Goals/Game
2.22
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
11.8
Shots/Game
14.5
2.8
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Darmstadt at home (7 matches) vs Magdeburg away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.83
1.14
Goals/Game
1.00
0.86
Conceded/Game
1.33
29%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Darmstadt
Home form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Magdeburg
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Darmstadt Wins
1
Draws
2
Magdeburg Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Magdeburg1 – 1Darmstadt
Darmstadt0 – 0Magdeburg
Magdeburg4 – 1Darmstadt
Darmstadt1 – 2Magdeburg
Darmstadt1 – 0Magdeburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Darmstadtvs
Magdeburg
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
2.00
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
7/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.2%→Latest 61.5%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.6%→Latest 64.4%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?