Darmstadt vs Cottbus Head to Head | Bundesliga 2

Match Report

Full Time

3 – 1

Match Events

Darmstadt

Cottbus

⚽ Justin Butler (King Samuel Manu)

Noah Weisshaupt (Lee Ho-Jae) ⚽

36'

45+1'

🟨 Christian Kinsombi

Milan Smit 🟨

62'

63'

🟨 Justin Butler

Aleksandar Vukotić (Lance Duijvestijn) ⚽

77'

Noah Weisshaupt 🟨

80'

🟨 Tolcay Cigerci

Lance Duijvestijn 🟨

85'

Yannik Luhrs (Raoul Petretta) ⚽

88'

🟨 Claus-Dieter Wollitz

Match Statistics

43%

Ball Possession

57%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Darmstadt (4-4-2)

M. Schuhen

W. Mikelbrencis

P. Pfeiffer

A. Vukotić

R. Petretta

M. Richter

K. Klefisch

N. Verkooijen

N. Weißhaupt

Lee Ho-Jae

M. Smit

Cottbus (4-2-3-1)

M. Lotka

H. Rorig

K. Manu

Luca Erlein

A. Borgmann

L. Bittencourt

Lukas Michelbrink

M. Hannemann

T. Ciğerci

C. Kinsombi

J. Butler

Player Ratings

Darmstadt

N. WeißhauptM7.7

A. VukotićD7.5

M. SchuhenG7.4

Cottbus

J. ButlerF7.5

K. ManuD7.2

M. LotkaG6.8

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Darmstadt edge defence, Cottbus edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Cottbus stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Cottbus stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Darmstadt slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

Cottbus have secured just one victory and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Darmstadt have managed only one win and two draws in the same number of home fixtures. At home, Darmstadt have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same recent spell. Cottbus rate stronger on form and attack, while Darmstadt hold a slight advantage in defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, Darmstadt's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points, while Cottbus's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Darmstadt losing run

50%

Cottbus yellow cards after 75'

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift away from Darmstadt

Darmstadt's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Darmstadt win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Darmstadt win

Latest market chance 42.5%

Slight drift

Market chance decreased

43.7% → 42.5%

−1.2 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 24.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.8% → 24.1%

+0.3 pts

Cottbus win

Latest market chance 33.4%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

32.5% → 33.4%

+0.9 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Darmstadt

Draw

Cottbus

8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Darmstadt

Cottbus

Season Profile

This season

18th

League Position

7th

Games Played

0.67

Points/Game

1.33

0.83

Goals/Game

2.33

2.17

Conceded/Game

2.17

11.8

Shots/Game

14.5

2.8

Shots on Target

5.0

Home vs Away Context

Darmstadt at home (7 matches) vs Cottbus away (7 matches)

1.43

Points/Game

1.00

1.14

Goals/Game

1.29

0.86

Conceded/Game

1.57

29%

Win Rate

14%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Darmstadt

Home form

1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home

2 of these matches from last season.

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Cottbus

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

2 of these matches from last season.

1.6

Goals scored
per match

2.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Darmstadt and Cottbus.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Darmstadt

Cottbus

Recent Scoring Profile

1.00

Goals scored / game

1.60

2.10

Goals conceded / game

2.50

6/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

4/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

85.4%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

67.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

47.5%

BTTSBoth teams score

68.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 67.4%→Latest 67.1%−0.3 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 68.5%→Latest 68.5%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.

4 of Darmstadt's 10 matches and 4 of Cottbus's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Darmstadt vs Cottbus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis