Cottbus vs Bochum Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadion der Freundschaft
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.97
Draw
3.71
Away Win
2.33
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Cottbus
Bochum
9'
🟨 Tom Meyer
20'
🟨 Timo Horn
Tolcay Cigerci ⚽ (P)
21'
King Samuel Manu 🟨
25'
70'
⚽ Philipp Hofmann (Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen)
72'
🟨 Michael Steinwender
77'
🟨 Philipp Hofmann
88'
⚽ Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen (Mats Henry Pannewig)
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
2
Fouls
19
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Cottbus (4-2-3-1)
M. Lotka
H. Rorig
K. Manu
Luca Erlein
L. Guwara
L. Bittencourt
Lukas Michelbrink
T. Ciğerci
L. Copado
M. Hannemann
J. Butler
Bochum (4-2-3-1)
T. Horn
S. Klaiber
M. Steinwender
K. Mets
M. Wittek
T. Meyer
M. Pannewig
K. Miyoshi
G. Holtmann
B. Taz
P. Hofmann
Player Ratings ?
Cottbus
T. CiğerciM7.1
J. BoziarisM7.0
C. KinsombiF6.7
Bochum
P. HofmannF8.2
C. RasmussenF7.9
M. WittekD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cottbus edge recent form and attack, Bochum edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cottbus slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cottbus stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bochum stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bochum stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bochum have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Cottbus have managed just a single victory in that same span at home. Cottbus have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Cottbus rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Bochum rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2014. Over the 5-day comparison window, Cottbus's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Bochum's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Bochum
Bochum's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bochum win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cottbus win
Latest market chance 33.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
31.2% → 33.1%
+1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 26.0%
+0.7 pts
Bochum win
Latest market chance 40.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.5% → 40.9%
−2.6 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CottbusBochum
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
14th
9
Games Played
9
1.11
Points/Game
0.89
1.89
Goals/Game
0.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.11
14.5
Shots/Game
16.4
5.0
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Cottbus at home (7 matches) vs Bochum away (6 matches)
0.86
Points/Game
2.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.33
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.17
14%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cottbus
Home form
W
L
D
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bochum
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cottbus Wins
0
Draws
2
Bochum Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Bochum2 – 1Cottbus
Cottbus0 – 1Bochum
Cottbus0 – 2Bochum
Bochum2 – 2Cottbus
Cottbus1 – 1Bochum
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cottbusvs
Bochum
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.7%→Latest 63.9%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.9%→Latest 66.2%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?