Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Eintracht-Stadion
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.68
Draw
3.86
Away Win
2.40
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Braunschweig
Holstein Kiel
Jan Urbich ⚽
11'
15'
🟨 Ivan Nekić
Max Marie 🟨
29'
I. Koutsidis 🟨
44'
45+1'
🟨 Guillermo Balzi
Fabio Di Michele Sanchez 🟨
62'
Yann Sturm 🟨
65'
82'
🟨 Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
Match Statistics ?
35%
Ball Possession
65%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
0
2
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
8
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Braunschweig (4-2-3-1)
R. Hoffmann
M. Aydın
K. Ehlers
I. Koutsidis
F. Di Michele Sanchez
F. Flick
Max Marie
A. Opoku
S. Di Benedetto
Yann Sturm
Jan Urbich
Holstein Kiel (4-1-4-1)
T. Weiner
H. Sekine
I. Nekić
N. Madsen
J. Tolkin
J. Meffert
A. Kaprálik
G. Balzi
I. Ugoh
J. Therkelsen
P. Harres
Player Ratings ?
Braunschweig
Jan UrbichF7.7
I. KoutsidisD7.2
L. FrenkertD7.0
Holstein Kiel
H. SekineD7.0
N. MadsenD6.7
A. KaprálikM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Braunschweig edge attack, Holstein Kiel edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Holstein Kiel slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Braunschweig stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Holstein Kiel stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Holstein Kiel stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Holstein Kiel have managed just one win and a draw from their last five away outings across the season, while Braunschweig sit on a similar tally of victories at home despite conceding in every single fixture during that same span. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches but remain without a clean sheet in that run, having let goals in each of those final outings. Holstein Kiel rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Braunschweig rate stronger on attack. Holstein Kiel won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 2 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Braunschweig's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Braunschweig losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Braunschweig win
Latest market chance 35.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.9% → 35.7%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.5% → 25.0%
−0.5 pts
Holstein Kiel win
Latest market chance 39.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.6% → 39.2%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Braunschweig
Draw
Holstein Kiel
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BraunschweigHolstein Kiel

Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
16th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
0.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.17
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.67
15.1
Shots/Game
13.6
5.5
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Braunschweig at home (9 matches) vs Holstein Kiel away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.14
1.22
Goals/Game
0.29
0.89
Conceded/Game
1.29
44%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Braunschweig
Home form
D
W
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Holstein Kiel
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Braunschweig Wins
1
Draws
1
Holstein Kiel Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Holstein Kiel2 – 0Braunschweig
Braunschweig1 – 1Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel1 – 2Braunschweig
Braunschweig0 – 1Holstein Kiel
Braunschweig2 – 3Holstein Kiel
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Braunschweigvs
Holstein Kiel

Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.1%→Latest 62.6%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.8%→Latest 65.0%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Braunschweig's 10 matches and 4 of Holstein Kiel's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?