Bochum vs Wolfsburg Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.44
Draw
4.24
Away Win
1.97
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Bochum
Wolfsburg
2'
⚽ Fabian Reese (Muhammed Damar)
57'
🟨 Saël Kumbedi Nseke
Sean Klaiber (Gerrit Holtmann) ⚽
63'
90+5'
🟨 Elvis Rexhbecaj
Match Statistics ?
37%
Ball Possession
63%
19
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
7
19
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Bochum (4-2-3-1)
T. Horn
S. Klaiber
M. Steinwender
K. Mets
M. Wittek
T. Meyer
M. Pannewig
B. Taz
G. Holtmann
K. Miyoshi
P. Hofmann
Wolfsburg (4-2-3-1)
T. Wellenreuther
S. Kumbedi
H. Wahl
Cleiton
J. Mæhle
Y. Gerhardt
Vinicius Souza
A. Bernhardsson
M. Damar
F. Reese
R. Glatzel
Player Ratings ?
Bochum
S. KlaiberD7.3
T. HornG6.8
M. WittekD6.8
Wolfsburg
T. WellenreutherG8.0
F. ReeseM7.9
K. ShiogaiF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Bochum edge defence, giving Wolfsburg a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bochum stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolfsburg stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wolfsburg have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings across seasons, while Bochum have struggled significantly at home with no victories and four losses in their recent campaign. At home, Bochum have found the net in just one of their last five matches and have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that same period. Wolfsburg rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Bochum rate stronger on defence. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2025, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Bochum's implied win probability has fallen by 4.3 percentage points, while Wolfsburg's implied win probability has risen by 6.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Wolfsburg a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wolfsburg win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bochum win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
32.9% → 28.6%
−4.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.9% → 23.9%
−2.0 pts
Wolfsburg win
Latest market chance 47.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.2% → 47.5%
+6.3 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BochumWolfsburg

Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
0.88
Points/Game
1.88
0.62
Goals/Game
2.75
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.62
16.4
Shots/Game
18.8
4.8
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Bochum at home (9 matches) vs Wolfsburg away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.29
1.00
Goals/Game
1.86
1.22
Conceded/Game
1.57
22%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Bochum
Home form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Wolfsburg
Away form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bochum Wins
1
Draws
1
Wolfsburg Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Wolfsburg1 – 1Bochum
Bochum1 – 3Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg1 – 0Bochum
Bochum3 – 1Wolfsburg
Bochum1 – 5Wolfsburg
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bochumvs
Wolfsburg

Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
3.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.8%→Latest 66.5%+5.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.4%→Latest 67.9%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Bochum's 10 matches and 2 of Wolfsburg's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?