Bielefeld vs Osnabruck Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Schüco-Arena
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.90
Draw
3.81
Away Win
4.07
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Bielefeld
Osnabruck
2'
🟨 Robin Fabinski
16'
⚽ Robin Meißner
Maximilian Bauer (Arne Sicker) ⚽
26'
Benjamin boakye 🟨
38'
Jannik Rochelt (monju thaddaus momuluh) ⚽
85'
Maximilian Grosser 🟨
86'
Stefano Russo 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
0
14
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Bielefeld (4-1-4-1)
J. Kersken
F. Hagmann
M. Bauer
M. Großer
A. Sicker
S. Russo
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
L. Jensen
M. Wörl
I. Young
J. Grodowski
Osnabruck (3-4-2-1)
J. Krumrey
R. Fabinski
J. Müller
N. Wiemann
P. Kammerbauer
L. Flach
B. Jacobsen
J. Gómez
I. Badjie
A. Beck
R. Meißner
Player Ratings ?
Bielefeld
J. RocheltM8.0
M. BauerD7.9
M. WörlM7.1
Osnabruck
R. MeißnerF7.4
B. JacobsenM6.5
P. KammerbauerM6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bielefeld edge attack, defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bielefeld stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Osnabruck have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Bielefeld remain unbeaten at home with two wins in that same span. Bielefeld have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept a single clean sheet during that period. Bielefeld rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2020. Over the 6-day comparison window, Bielefeld's implied win probability has fallen by 5.2 percentage points, while Osnabruck's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Bielefeld
Bielefeld's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bielefeld win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bielefeld win
Latest market chance 51.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
56.5% → 51.3%
−5.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.6% → 25.1%
+2.5 pts
Osnabruck win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
20.9% → 23.6%
+2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bielefeld
Draw
Osnabruck
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BielefeldOsnabruck
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
11th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.14
1.57
Goals/Game
1.43
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.86
12.1
Shots/Game
13.6
3.6
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Bielefeld at home (7 matches) vs Osnabruck away (6 matches)
2.43
Points/Game
0.67
2.43
Goals/Game
1.17
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.83
71%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bielefeld
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Osnabruck
Away form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bielefeld Wins
3
Draws
2
Osnabruck Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.8
Bielefeld2 – 1Osnabruck
Bielefeld1 – 1Osnabruck
Osnabruck0 – 1Bielefeld
Osnabruck0 – 0Bielefeld
Bielefeld2 – 1Osnabruck
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bielefeldvs
Osnabruck
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 57.3%−4.7 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 58.9%−2.0 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Bielefeld's 10 matches and 2 of Osnabruck's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?