Vitoria vs RB Bragantino Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Barradao
Thu 19 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.81
Draw
3.42
Away Win
2.52
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. RB Bragantino edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vitoria have secured two wins from their last five home outings, whereas RB Bragantino remain winless with just two draws in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches while also keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that same period. RB Bragantino rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. RB Bragantino won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 17 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Vitoria's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Vitoria's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points, while RB Bragantino's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Vitoria losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
RB Bragantino points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Vitoria
No current absences reported
RB Bragantino
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Vitoria
Vitoria's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vitoria win as less likely than it did 14 days ago. RB Bragantino remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vitoria win
Latest market chance 34.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
37.6% → 34.7%
−2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.7%
+0.2 pts
RB Bragantino win
Latest market chance 37.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.0% → 37.6%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Vitoria
Draw
RB Bragantino
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VitoriaRB Bragantino
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
8th
34
Games Played
34
1.12
Points/Game
1.38
1.03
Goals/Game
1.29
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.15
11.8
Shots/Game
16.9
4.2
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Vitoria at home (17 matches) vs RB Bragantino away (17 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.00
1.35
Goals/Game
0.88
0.94
Conceded/Game
1.24
59%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vitoria
Home form
W
L
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
RB Bragantino
Away form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vitoria Wins
2
Draws
0
RB Bragantino Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
RB Bragantino2 – 0Vitoria
RB Bragantino4 – 0Vitoria
Vitoria1 – 0RB Bragantino
Vitoria1 – 0RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino2 – 1Vitoria
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vitoriavs
RB Bragantino
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 52.6%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 57.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Vitoria's 10 matches and 7 of RB Bragantino's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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