RB Bragantino vs Santos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.02
Draw
4.10
Away Win
3.36
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
RB Bragantino
Santos
Rodinei ⚽ (OG)
4'
20'
🟨 Joao Alencar
37'
⚽ Coutinho (Gabriel Barbosa)
Wallace Yan (H. Mosquera) ⚽
41'
Lucas Barbosa 🟨
45'
45+1'
🟨 A. Barreal
79'
🟨 Luan Peres
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
15
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
5
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Tiago Volpi
Ryan Augusto
Gustavo Marques
Guzmán Rodríguez
Juninho Capixaba
Eric Ramires
Fabinho
Lucas Barbosa
Wallace Yan
Henry Mosquera
Eduardo Sasha
Santos (4-2-3-1)
Diogenes
Rodinei
João Alencar
Luan Peres
Álvaro Barreal
Gustavinho
Christian Oliva
Gabriel Bontempo
Philippe Coutinho
Everton Cebolinha
Gabriel Barbosa
Player Ratings ?
RB Bragantino
Tiago VolpiG7.3
Gustavo MarquesD7.3
Ryan AugustoD7.2
Santos
Philippe CoutinhoM8.5
Rafael GonzagaD7.3
Gabriel BarbosaF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. RB Bragantino edge attack and head-to-head, Santos edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Santos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Santos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Bragantino slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Santos have secured four victories from their last five away outings, while RB Bragantino have recorded three wins and a draw in their most recent five home fixtures. RB Bragantino have scored in each of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. RB Bragantino face three unavailable players and two doubts, whereas Santos have six confirmed absences and one player listed as doubtful for the match. Santos rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while RB Bragantino rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Santos won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 10 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to RB Bragantino's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, RB Bragantino's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Santos's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Santos unbeaten run
12
Santos points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Santos
Santos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Santos win as more likely than it did 7 days ago. RB Bragantino remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
RB Bragantino win
Latest market chance 46.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
48.6% → 46.7%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 24.9%
−0.7 pts
Santos win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.8% → 28.4%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
RB Bragantino
Draw
Santos
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RB BragantinoSantos
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
33
Games Played
33
1.33
Points/Game
1.42
1.27
Goals/Game
1.48
1.15
Conceded/Game
1.42
16.9
Shots/Game
13.9
5.5
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
RB Bragantino at home (17 matches) vs Santos away (17 matches)
1.76
Points/Game
1.29
1.71
Goals/Game
1.59
1.06
Conceded/Game
1.65
53%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
RB Bragantino
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Santos
Away form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
RB Bragantino Wins
3
Draws
1
Santos Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Santos2 – 0RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino2 – 2Santos
Santos1 – 2RB Bragantino
Santos1 – 3RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino2 – 0Santos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
RB Bragantinovs
Santos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.4%→Latest 60.3%+4.9 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 62.2%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of RB Bragantino's 10 matches and 6 of Santos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?