RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.76
Away Win
3.41
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Guzman Rodriguez 🟨
10'
Lucas Henrique Barbosa (Wallace Yan) ⚽
13'
18'
🟨 William
Kaio Jorge ⚽ (OG)
20'
Ryan Augusto 🟨
28'
Eric Ramires ⚽
30'
43'
⚽ Zé Lucas (Kaio Jorge)
77'
🟨 Felipe Morais
89'
⚽ Matheus Henrique
Jose Herrera (Isidro Pitta) ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
31%
Ball Possession
69%
20
Total Shots
25
11
Shots on Goal
13
7
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
5
11
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Tiago Volpi
Ryan Tavares
Gustavo Marques
Guzmán Rodríguez
Juninho Capixaba
Eric Ramires
Fabinho
Lucas Barbosa
Wallace
Fernando
Eduardo Sasha
Cruzeiro (4-2-3-1)
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
William
João Marcelo
Jonathan
G. Rojas
Zé Lucas
Gerson
K. Arroyo
Matheus Pereira
Felipe Morais
Kaio Jorge
Player Ratings ?
RB Bragantino
Tiago VolpiG8.8
Eric RamiresM8.0
J. HerreraF7.4
Cruzeiro
Zé LucasM7.9
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG7.4
GersonM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; RB Bragantino edge defence, giving Cruzeiro a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cruzeiro stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cruzeiro slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cruzeiro stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cruzeiro have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, while RB Bragantino have managed only a single victory in that same span at home. The hosts have scored in three of their last five home matches but have kept just two clean sheets in that period. Both sides carry significant injury concerns, with RB Bragantino facing two confirmed absences and two doubts alongside Cruzeiro's trio of confirmed outsidess and two players in doubt. Cruzeiro rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while RB Bragantino rate stronger on defence. Cruzeiro won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 12 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to RB Bragantino's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Cruzeiro a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Cruzeiro unbeaten run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
RB Bragantino win
Latest market chance 44.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
43.7% → 44.3%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.6%
−0.1 pts
Cruzeiro win
Latest market chance 29.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.6% → 29.1%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
RB Bragantino
Draw
Cruzeiro
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RB BragantinoCruzeiro
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
6th
29
Games Played
29
1.28
Points/Game
1.66
1.17
Goals/Game
1.52
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.38
16.9
Shots/Game
15.2
5.5
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
RB Bragantino at home (17 matches) vs Cruzeiro away (17 matches)
1.76
Points/Game
1.53
1.71
Goals/Game
1.47
1.06
Conceded/Game
1.76
53%
Win Rate
47%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
RB Bragantino
Home form
D
L
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cruzeiro
Away form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
RB Bragantino Wins
1
Draws
1
Cruzeiro Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Cruzeiro2 – 1RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro2 – 1RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino1 – 0Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino1 – 1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro2 – 1RB Bragantino
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
RB Bragantinovs
Cruzeiro
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 32 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 55.7%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 58.7%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of RB Bragantino's 10 matches and 1 of Cruzeiro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?