RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.28
Draw
6.09
Away Win
9.39
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Wallace Yan ⚽
43'
Wallace Yan (Lucas Henrique Barbosa) ⚽
51'
Henry Mosquera (Jose Herrera) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
23
Total Shots
9
11
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Cleiton
Ryan Tavares
Alix
Guzmán Rodríguez
Juninho Capixaba
Fabinho
Eric Ramires
Lucas Barbosa
Wallace
Fernando
Eduardo Sasha
Chapecoense-sc (4-4-2)
Anderson
Bruno Tubarão
Kauan Faria Gomes
João Paulo
Bruno Pacheco
Marcinho
Bruno Matias
David Antunes
Fernando
Giovanni Augusto
Y. Bolasie
Player Ratings ?
RB Bragantino
WallaceM9.3
Lucas BarbosaM7.5
Henry MosqueraF7.5
Chapecoense-sc
AndersonG7.0
Tulio Eduardo Silva De OliveiraNone6.7
Kauan Faria GomesD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. RB Bragantino edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Chapecoense-sc edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Defence
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Bragantino stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
RB Bragantino have recorded two wins from their last five home outings, whereas Chapecoense-sc have managed just a solitary victory in their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches at this venue but have only kept a clean sheet once during that identical period. There are significant squad concerns for both sides, with RB Bragantino carrying four confirmed out and two doubtful players while Chapecoense-sc face three absences alongside one player in doubt. Chapecoense-sc hold a slight advantage in form, while RB Bragantino rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head. RB Bragantino won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 3 encounters to Chapecoense-sc's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, RB Bragantino's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points, while Chapecoense-sc's implied win probability has fallen by 0.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Chapecoense-sc losing run
2/3
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a RB Bragantino win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
RB Bragantino win
Latest market chance 73.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
72.1% → 73.8%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.1% → 16.8%
−1.3 pts
Chapecoense-sc win
Latest market chance 9.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
9.8% → 9.4%
−0.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
9 snapshots
+2+10−1Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
RB Bragantino
Draw
Chapecoense-sc
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
20th
32
Games Played
31
1.28
Points/Game
0.68
1.22
Goals/Game
1.03
1.19
Conceded/Game
2.03
16.9
Shots/Game
12.4
5.5
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
RB Bragantino at home (17 matches) vs Chapecoense-sc away (17 matches)
1.76
Points/Game
0.41
1.71
Goals/Game
0.65
1.06
Conceded/Game
1.88
53%
Win Rate
6%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
RB Bragantino
Home form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Chapecoense-sc
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
RB Bragantino Wins
2
Draws
0
Chapecoense-sc Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-05-032026
Chapecoense-sc1 – 2RB Bragantino
2021-09-112021
RB Bragantino1 – 2Chapecoense-sc
2021-05-302021
Chapecoense-sc0 – 3RB Bragantino
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
RB Bragantino
vs
Chapecoense-sc
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
82.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
64.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
43.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
51.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.1%→Latest 63.7%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 51.2%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 8 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of RB Bragantino's 10 matches and 4 of Chapecoense-sc's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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