Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Nubank Parque
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.53
Draw
4.37
Away Win
5.82
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
31'
🟨 Tiago Volpi
Ramon Sosa •
32'
44'
🟨 Jose Herrera
Maurício Magalhães Prado ⚽ (P)
45+11'
Gustavo Gómez 🟨
62'
Agustin Giay (José Manuel López) ⚽
77'
Agustin Giay 🟨
79'
81'
🟨 Alix Vinicius
81'
🟨 Gabriel Girotto
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
24
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
2
10
Corner Kicks
9
7
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1)
Carlos Miguel
Bruno Fuchs
G. Gómez
A. Barboza
A. Giay
Marlon Freitas
Lucas Evangelista
Arthur
J. Arias
Maurício
R. Sosa
RB Bragantino (4-2-3-1)
Tiago Volpi
Ryan Tavares
Alix
Guzmán Rodríguez
Juninho Capixaba
Matheus Fernandes
Fabinho
J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa
Fernando
I. Pitta
Player Ratings ?
Palmeiras
A. GiayM8.2
Bruno FuchsD7.8
MaurícioM7.5
RB Bragantino
Tiago VolpiG7.2
I. PittaF6.8
Guzmán RodríguezD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Palmeiras
Palmeiras rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Palmeiras an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Palmeiras stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Palmeiras stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Palmeiras stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Palmeiras stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Palmeiras have enjoyed a strong run at home with four wins and no defeats in their last five outings, while RB Bragantino have struggled away from home with just two draws from their last five matches. At home Palmeiras have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same span. Palmeiras will field a squad with two players unavailable, while RB Bragantino face three absentees ahead of this BR1 fixture. Palmeiras rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Palmeiras won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 26 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to RB Bragantino's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 7-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Palmeiras.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Palmeiras unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Palmeiras points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 7 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Palmeiras remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Palmeiras win
Latest market chance 60.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
60.0% → 60.4%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.8% → 23.0%
−0.8 pts
RB Bragantino win
Latest market chance 16.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.2% → 16.6%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Palmeiras
Draw
RB Bragantino
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PalmeirasRB Bragantino
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
10th
31
Games Played
31
2.13
Points/Game
1.32
1.74
Goals/Game
1.26
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.16
15.5
Shots/Game
16.9
5.3
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Palmeiras at home (17 matches) vs RB Bragantino away (17 matches)
2.47
Points/Game
1.00
2.12
Goals/Game
0.88
0.65
Conceded/Game
1.24
76%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Palmeiras
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
RB Bragantino
Away form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Palmeiras Wins
4
Draws
1
RB Bragantino Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
RB Bragantino0 – 1Palmeiras
Palmeiras5 – 1RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino1 – 2Palmeiras
RB Bragantino0 – 0Palmeiras
Palmeiras2 – 1RB Bragantino
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Palmeirasvs
RB Bragantino
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 54.5%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 52.7%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Palmeiras's 10 matches and 4 of RB Bragantino's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?