Palmeiras vs Bahia Head to Head, Prediction

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Fri 09 Oct 2026
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Palmeiras
Bahia
José Manuel López (Alexander Barboza) ⚽
7'
61'
🟨 Nicolas Acevedo
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira 🟨
64'
87'
🟨 Jean Lucas
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
25
Total Shots
10
11
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Starting Lineups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1)
Carlos Miguel
Murilo
G. Gómez
A. Barboza
Khellven
Andreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas
Arthur
J. López
Lucas Evangelista
Vitor Roque
Bahia (4-3-3)
Ronaldo
Roman Gomez
David Duarte
Kanu
Luciano Juba
Rodrigo Nestor
N. Acevedo
Jean Lucas
C. Olivera
A. Véliz
Erick Pulga
Player Ratings ?
Palmeiras
J. LópezM8.1
G. GómezD7.5
Andreas PereiraM7.2
Bahia
RonaldoG8.8
Caio AlexandreM7.0
KanuD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Palmeiras edge attack, defence and head-to-head, Bahia edge recent form, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bahia slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Palmeiras slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Palmeiras stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Palmeiras slightly stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Palmeiras win
61.1%
Draw
21.9%
Bahia win
17.1%
Based on 10 bookmaker(s) · not enough history yet to show movement
Team Comparison
Palmeiras
Bahia
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
6th
28
Games Played
28
2.04
Points/Game
1.64
1.68
Goals/Game
1.54
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
15.5
Shots/Game
14.2
5.3
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Palmeiras at home (17 matches) vs Bahia away (17 matches)
2.47
Points/Game
1.35
2.12
Goals/Game
1.41
0.65
Conceded/Game
1.53
76%
Win Rate
35%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Palmeiras
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Bahia
Away form
D
D
W
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Palmeiras Wins
3
Draws
0
Bahia Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-04-052026
Bahia1 – 2Palmeiras
2025-09-282025
Bahia1 – 0Palmeiras
2025-04-272025
Palmeiras0 – 1Bahia
2024-11-202024
Bahia1 – 2Palmeiras
2024-07-072024
Palmeiras2 – 0Bahia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Palmeiras
vs
Bahia
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
80.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
60.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
39.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
57.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
Match Poll
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