Mirassol vs Internacional Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
José Maria de Campos Maia
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.28
Draw
3.38
Away Win
3.20
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Mirassol
Internacional
15'
🟥 Matheus Cunha
43'
🟨 Vitinho
Neto Moura 🟨
45+5'
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve (Edson Carioca) ⚽
48'
57'
🟨 Bruno Gomes
61'
🟨 Rodrigo Villagra
André Luis 🟨
77'
81'
🟨 Johan Carbonero
André Luis (Fernandinho) ⚽
87'
89'
🟨 Gabriel Mercado
90+1'
🟨 Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira
Reinaldo •
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
24
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
6
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Mirassol (4-2-3-1)
Walter
Igor Formiga
João Victor
Willian Machado
Reinaldo
Neto Moura
Denilson
Shaylon
Eduardo
Edson
Bruno Santos
Internacional (3-4-2-1)
Matheus Cunha
Bruno Gomes
G. Mercado
Juninho
B. Aguirre
R. Villagra
Thiago Maia
Matheus Bahia
Vitinho
A. Bernabéi
Alerrandro
Player Ratings ?
Mirassol
EduardoM8.2
Igor FormigaD8.0
ReinaldoD7.8
Internacional
KauanG6.8
JuninhoD6.7
AlerrandroF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mirassol edge attack and head-to-head, Internacional edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Mirassol stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Internacional stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mirassol stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Internacional have recorded just one win from their last five away matches, while Mirassol look more settled at home with two victories in that same span. The hosts have found the net in every one of their last five outings but have only kept a single clean sheet during that period. Two Mirassol players are unavailable, whereas Internacional face five confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful. Mirassol rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Internacional rate stronger on defence, while form is closely matched. Mirassol won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 3 encounters to Internacional's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mirassol win
Latest market chance 41.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.2% → 41.8%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 27.7%
−0.1 pts
Internacional win
Latest market chance 30.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.0% → 30.5%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mirassol
Draw
Internacional
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MirassolInternacional
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
16th
30
Games Played
30
1.10
Points/Game
1.07
1.13
Goals/Game
1.10
1.47
Conceded/Game
1.27
13.4
Shots/Game
14.8
4.3
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Mirassol at home (17 matches) vs Internacional away (17 matches)
1.59
Points/Game
0.88
1.41
Goals/Game
0.94
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.47
41%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mirassol
Home form
W
L
D
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Internacional
Away form
D
L
W
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mirassol Wins
2
Draws
1
Internacional Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Internacional1 – 2Mirassol
Mirassol3 – 1Internacional
Internacional1 – 1Mirassol
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mirassolvs
Internacional
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
2 of Mirassol's 10 matches and 2 of Internacional's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?