Internacional vs Coritiba Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio Beira Rio
Wed 04 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
3.97
Away Win
5.51
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitinho 🟨
18'
30'
🟨 Tiago Coser
57'
🟨 N. Fonseca
Thiago Maia 🟨
75'
Joao Bezerra 🟨
82'
90+3'
🟨 Rodrigo Moledo
Alerrandro ⚽ (P)
90+5'
G. Maripan 🟥
90+6'
90+8'
🟨 Bruno Melo
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
19
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
1
15
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
18
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Internacional (3-4-2-1)
Kauan
Bruno Gomes
Gabriel Mercado
Jose Juninho
Braian Aguirre
Rodrigo Villagra
Thiago Maia
Matheus Bahia
Vitinho
Johan Carbonero
Alerrandro
Coritiba (4-2-3-1)
Pedro Morisco
Tinga
Tiago Cóser
Jacy Maranhão
Bruno Melo
Thiago Santos
Sebastián Gómez
Breno Lopes
Nicolas Fonseca
Pedro Rocha
Josué
Player Ratings ?
Internacional
Thiago MaiaM7.6
Rodrigo VillagraM7.5
Jose JuninhoD7.3
Coritiba
Bruno MeloD7.3
Thiago SantosM7.2
TingaD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Internacional edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Internacional slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Internacional stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Internacional stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Internacional have secured two wins from their last five home matches, whereas Coritiba have managed just a single win in their last five away outings. The hosts have scored in four of their last five fixtures at home and have kept two clean sheets during that same span. Internacional face four confirmed absences while Coritiba will be without one player, with another listed as doubtful for the contest. Internacional rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 9-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 9 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Internacional win
Latest market chance 58.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
59.4% → 58.7%
−0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.0% → 23.5%
+0.5 pts
Coritiba win
Latest market chance 17.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.6% → 17.8%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Internacional
Draw
Coritiba
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
InternacionalCoritiba
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
11th
33
Games Played
33
1.06
Points/Game
1.27
1.12
Goals/Game
1.21
1.27
Conceded/Game
1.52
14.8
Shots/Game
11.4
4.5
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Internacional at home (17 matches) vs Coritiba away (17 matches)
1.35
Points/Game
1.12
1.29
Goals/Game
1.06
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.76
35%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Internacional
Home form
D
D
L
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Coritiba
Away form
D
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Internacional Wins
2
Draws
2
Coritiba Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Coritiba2 – 2Internacional
Internacional3 – 4Coritiba
Coritiba0 – 1Internacional
Coritiba1 – 1Internacional
Internacional3 – 0Coritiba
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Internacionalvs
Coritiba
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 51.6%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 50.8%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Internacional's 10 matches and 5 of Coritiba's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?